Still riding high after last week’s win over England,
Australia should theoretically have little problem of disposing with Italy
today in Rome although the Italians might be able to keep the score more respectable
than many would think.
Handicap winners in 5 of their last 6 meeting with Australia,
Italy put on a brave and very creditable showing against the All Blacks and
while they were on the receiving end of a 32 point beating, the score was more
than respectable against the world’s No.1 side by a distance and they should feel
confident about throwing down a challenge to an Australia side which makes 4
changes from last week, with Brett Sheehan making his first start for the
Wallabies and Drew Mitchell swapping roles with Digby Ioane. In their last two
matches – at the World Cup and in Firenze 2 years ago – the score at half time
was 9-13 Australia and 6-6 – so Italy to say within 8 points of the Wallabies.
In terms of the winning margin, a dutch of 11-20 and 21-30 points for Australia
has legs given the last two meetings between the sides.
Advice
2 pts Italy +8 on half time handicap (7/10 Sportingbet)
1 pt Australia to win by 11-20 points (3/1 Paddy Power)
1 pt Australia to win by 21-30 points (4/1 Paddy Power)
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