Thursday, 15 November 2012

Cheltenham Open Meeting 2012 - Sharp Novices' Hurdle

2.25 Cheltenham
Opus Energy Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The Sharp Novices' Hurdle) (Grade 2) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)
Winner £14,238

Advice: 2 pts win Dodging Bullets (5/4 general), 1 pt each/way Dodging Bullets for Supreme Novice Hurdle (20/1 Coral, 16/1 general) 

Owner detailsCourt Minstrel: Good bumper form (fourth behind The New One at Aintree last year) and made excellent start to life over hurdles when easily beating subsequent winner The Romford Pele with ease here in October; Should go well.

Owner detailsDodging Bullets: Promising hurdling debut when second to Grumeti at Kempton and even better when travelling like one of the best in the race in the Triumph, but failing to get up the hill having pulled hard all the way round; Could never get into the race having been badly hampered at Aintree but that retained his novice status and took good vantage when taking condition’s hurdle here on comeback (at one time looked in trouble but drew away); Big chance here and the one to beat.

Owner detailsMagic Spear: Looked useful when fairly running away with Killarney maiden hurdle in September but well held when stepping up into novice company; Maybe that 2 miles and better ground than heavy suits him but others preferred here.  

Owner detailsRun With The Wind: More experience than most already and established as useful, with three wins over hurdles (minor event at Ballinrobe in May and novices at Killarney and Listowel) but more exposed than most.

Owner detailsTed Dolly: Looks exposed on everything we’ve seen so far despite her convincing win over Pique Sous two starts back; Others preferred.

Owner detailsDuke Of Navan: Strolled home by 9 lengths in maiden hurdle at Newcastle on seasonal debut in one of the more impressive performances seen so far this season, but 16 lengths behind River Maigue last season in bumpers and can’t expect he’ll be good enough here.

Owner detailsTominator: Best of these on the flat by some way, winning Northumberland Plate and then going onto run several times in high class handicaps over staying trips; That talent saw him predictably coast home on hurdling debut at Bangor, for all that his jumping has to improve.

Owner detailsRiver Maigue: Far took keen and inexperienced on bumper debut when promising third to Royal Guardsman at Ascot and much better at Ayr when winning tidily at backend of last season; Bright prospect for hurdles on that evidence for all this is a stuff introduction.

VERDICT: There’s tons of promise in this field but DODGING BULLETS already sets a very high standard on his Triumph fourth last year and should come on for his encouraging win at the October meeting here where he looked in trouble for some time but was never in danger of being beaten, and with his proven form in the book, he can beat Tominator and River Maigue, for all Court Minstrel should go well. Paul Nicholl's smart sort is also worth an interest at 20's for the Supreme Novice Hurdle, as that price could well fall should he win this (and we obviously think he will). 

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