QBE Autumn Internationals 2012 - Wales v New Zealand

Wales look to be a shadow of the side that was so impressive in the 6 Nations and meet New Zealand at just about the worst possible time today with Warren Gatland’s side desperate to improve a reputation that has been battered by two defeats to Argentina and Samoa in the space of two week. It was a far cry from the side that had towered above all their European opponents and gone down by the smallest of margins to Australia three times during the summer and there seems to be no cure on the basis of the drop in performance between the first two weeks.

Meanwhile Steve Hansen’s side have kicked on from their World Cup success and are now the unchallenged No.1 side in the world both on rankings and merit, having last been beaten by Australia in the Tri Nations a year ago. Near unbeatable at the breakdown, superb with ball in hand and resolute in defence when it really counts, they look to be a class above and the only hope for Wales would be an improved performance on basis of national pride following two humiliations so far.  

Dutching the 11-20 and 21-30 point winning margins would have paid on out three of the last 4 All Blacks visits to Wales and looks to be the best value again, while over 32.5 points is a more then achievable mark given that both Samoa and Argentina scored 26 points in their encounters.

Advice

1 pt New Zealand to win by 11-20 points (15/8 Bet365)

1 pt New Zealand to win by 21-30 points (3/1 Bet365)

2 pts New Zealand to score 33 points or more (5/6 general)