Thursday, 21 June 2012

Royal Ascot 2012 - Coronation Stakes


3.45 Royal Ascot (Day 4, Race 3)
Coronation Stakes (British Champions' Series) (Fillies' Group 1) (Rnd) (Class 1)  (3YO only)
Winner £154,535

Advice: 2 pts win Laugh Out Loud (5/1 general)

Owner detailsBugie D’ Amore: Steadily progressive form for previous connections in Italy, winning Group 3 under the care of Bruno Grizetti; Excellent start to life with her new connections when staying on fourth in Prix De Sandringham and not hard to see her improving upon that, but Laugh Out Loud clearly the best of the pair and far more needed.

Owner detailsCardigan: Excellent turn of foot when winning 6f maiden at Haydock on sole start; Just 2 subsequent wins from 26 runs in that maiden and while she’s clearly liked by connections to be pitched in at this level, not seen since and can only be watched.

Owner detailsElusive Kate: Made expected improvement from promising debut when cosy winner at Kempton and has since landed two Group events in France since, winning with ease on both occasions; Followed that up with convincing Marcel Boussac win despite drifting very wide into middle of course; Never in with a chance from stall 10 at Breeders Cup (pace too slow for her too) and while much better thn that, this a belated comeback for one so talented and fitness might be an issue.

Owner detailsFallen For You: Looked a classy filly with debut win a May Hill second on first two starts, and seems to have put Fillies Mile disappointment behind her with easy win in AW conditions race, but disappointment last time and more needed here.

Owner detailsHomecoming Queen: Improved with racing as 2 year old and landed Leopardstown’s 1,000 Guineas trial on second run back but still a massive shock when she romped away with the 1,000 Guineas by nine lengths (Starscope and Laught Out Loud behind), having looked like she was a pacemaker for Maybe (now non-runner); Unable to confirm that form on much faster ground in Irish Guineas when fourth behind Samitar but the rain has come for her in time and that improves her chances greatly; One gets feeling that she was still flattened greatly by Guineas win but could prove hard to catch.

Owner detailsIntense Pink: No chance from early on debut but ran third second time out and then bolted up at Pontefract off back of strong support (14 lengths); Failed to land a blow at Listed level last time out though and much more needed here.

Owner detailsIrish History: Emphatic six and a half length winner of Windsor maiden, drawing right away from seemingly moderate field although that can take nothing away from her win; Stepped up to Listed level and just about to make her challenge when bumped around; No surprise to see connections persevere with her but others preferred.

Owner detailsLaugh Out Loud: Made quick progress this year, winning maiden by 10 lengths before landing condtions contest; Only eight in 1,000 Guineas but still immature (keen all the way), and proved herself better than that winning listed race at York and Group 2 Prix de Sandringham at Chantilly; Major chance here and entitled to some serious respect.

Owner detailsRusselliana: Shaped as if she had a future when winning well on debut and them coming well close home in the Cherry Hinton Stakes; Run very poorly both times since though and makes little appeal.

Owner detailsSamitar; Came good on the promise shown as a 2 year old (notably when winning Albany Stakes on second start here) when winning Irish 1,000 Guineas, a noteable step up on her 3 year olds form (had been disappointing before win at the Curragh); Travelled like a class act on that occasion and has form on soft ground last year, so high on list.

Owner detailsStarscope: Took many eyes when winning backend maiden at Newmarket and once again better when coming an unlucky fourth in the Nell Gwyn, having been blocked for a rail run at one point; Confirmed that promise when second in the 1,000 Guineas (nine lengths behind Homecoming Queen; Ishvana won Jersey Stakes on Wednesday) but poor last time out when stepped upto 10 furlongs, proving far too keen before and during the race; That form worked out well through second Shirocco Star; Wouldn’t be surprise to see bold show but others preferred.


VERDICT: A hard race to evaluate, with Homecoming Queen surely flattered by her 1,000 Guineas win but also sure to be suited most by the recent rain that’s fallen. She could be hard to catch from the front but Samitar reeled her in with ease in the Irish 1,000 Guineas and also has some soft ground form if you go back far enough. Both could be upstaged by LAUGH OUT LOUD, who was so impressive when winning the Prix De Sandringham and is clearly a much better filly than the one who was too keen when eight in the 1,000 Guineas. She’s not so much under the radar but 5/1 is still a surprise and she can take this for Mick Channon. Elusive Kate is the best of these on last season’s form but she’s taken a long time to come to hand and could need this, while John Gosden’s other two fillies have it to prove on form (Fallen For You) and also attitude (Starscope). 

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