Saturday, 16 June 2012

Euro 2012 - Denmark v Germany


The slight odds on being offered about Germany beating Denmark to stretch their winning streak to 14 competitive matches could easily be one of the best bets of the tournament so far at Euro 2012 and should be backed accordingly. Joachim Low’s side have won their first two games at the tournament with all the efficiency, if not all of the panache, that they used to top their qualifying group with a 100% record but they’ve shown more than enough to deserve the hype that has seen them put forwards as the second most likely tournament winners for many behind only Spain, with many having put Joachim Low’s side as favourites. Remarkably they can still be usurped from the competition if lose to Denmark by two goals or more and Portugal defeat the Netherlands, but such a situation looks inconceivable and Joachim Loew’s side look little sort of a gift at 3/4 with 188BET.

sporty5: Netherlands v Germany - Group B: UEFA EURO 2012Their first game against Portugal didn’t please too many but breaking down Paulo Bento’s side was never going to be as easy a task as they wanted and they showed great resilience and patience to find the winner late on with a little bit of luck, and while it could be argued that Holland once again had the better of the clash in their blockbuster encounter, they were full value for the win and regularly tested the leaky Dutch defence, with Hummels and Badstuber had excellent chances to score, all before half time.

Denmark themselves deserve credit for being in with a shout at this stage of proceedings – they’d been entirely written off when the draw was made – and they’ve shown more than just the resilience that saw them scrap a win over Holland with an outrageous amount of luck, fighting back from 2-0 down to draw level before conceding the winner late on against Portgual, having shown some useful skill in the wide areas when launching their comeback. They’re a useful side – ranked 11th in the World – and are also no mugs, but on what we’ve seen they have to be considered inferior to both Holland and Portugal, both sides who Germany have beaten fair and square so far without too much difficulty when on top. They also come here without veteran Dennis Rommedahl, which could be a bigger blow than many actually think. Some have suggested that Germany could ease off but there should be no danger of them doing that with the threat of elimination – even if small – still there in some measure, while competition for places is going to intensify with Jerome Boateng suspended and one of Toni Kroos or Andree Schurrle pushing for a place if Low does rest one of the star studded midfield quartet of Ozil, Scheiwnsteiger, Muller or Kehdira. One thing he certainly won’t be doing is resting upon his morals however, and Germany look like an outstanding bet. Value seekers should consider the fact that Denmark have scored in every qualifying game and also scored in both games so far, so the 2 & 3-1 correct scores (a best priced 15/2 and 16/1 respectively), while a 1 goal winning margin (11/4) and Germany to win while conceding is a 5/2 shot with Coral.

Advice

5 pts Germany (3/4 Bet Victor)

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