The slight odds on being offered about Germany beating
Denmark to stretch their winning streak to 14 competitive matches could easily
be one of the best bets of the tournament so far at Euro 2012 and should be
backed accordingly. Joachim Low’s side have won their first two games at the
tournament with all the efficiency, if not all of the panache, that they used
to top their qualifying group with a 100% record but they’ve shown more than
enough to deserve the hype that has seen them put forwards as the second most
likely tournament winners for many behind only Spain, with many having put
Joachim Low’s side as favourites. Remarkably they can still be usurped from the
competition if lose to Denmark by two goals or more and Portugal defeat the
Netherlands, but such a situation looks inconceivable and Joachim Loew’s side look
little sort of a gift at 3/4 with 188BET.
Their first game against Portugal didn’t please too many but
breaking down Paulo Bento’s side was never going to be as easy a task as they
wanted and they showed great resilience and patience to find the winner late on
with a little bit of luck, and while it could be argued that Holland once again
had the better of the clash in their blockbuster encounter, they were full
value for the win and regularly tested the leaky Dutch defence, with Hummels
and Badstuber had excellent chances to score, all before half time.
Denmark themselves deserve credit for being in with a shout
at this stage of proceedings – they’d been entirely written off when the draw
was made – and they’ve shown more than just the resilience that saw them scrap
a win over Holland with an outrageous amount of luck, fighting back from 2-0
down to draw level before conceding the winner late on against Portgual, having
shown some useful skill in the wide areas when launching their comeback. They’re
a useful side – ranked 11th in the World – and are also no mugs, but
on what we’ve seen they have to be considered inferior to both Holland and
Portugal, both sides who Germany have beaten fair and square so far without too
much difficulty when on top. They also come here without veteran Dennis
Rommedahl, which could be a bigger blow than many actually think. Some have
suggested that Germany could ease off but there should be no danger of them
doing that with the threat of elimination – even if small – still there in some
measure, while competition for places is going to intensify with Jerome Boateng
suspended and one of Toni Kroos or Andree Schurrle pushing for a place if Low
does rest one of the star studded midfield quartet of Ozil, Scheiwnsteiger,
Muller or Kehdira. One thing he certainly won’t be doing is resting upon his
morals however, and Germany look like an outstanding bet. Value seekers should
consider the fact that Denmark have scored in every qualifying game and also
scored in both games so far, so the 2 & 3-1 correct scores (a best priced 15/2
and 16/1 respectively), while a 1 goal winning margin (11/4) and Germany to win
while conceding is a 5/2 shot with Coral.
Advice
5 pts Germany (3/4 Bet Victor)
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