Wednesday, 20 June 2012

Royal Ascot 2012 - Norfolk Stakes


2.30 Royal Ascot (Day 3, Race 1)
Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1)  (2YO only)
Winner £42,532

Advice: 1 pt win Reckless Abandon (6/1 general), 1 pt win Mister Marc (7/1 general)

Owner detailsAhern: Bred to be precious (He is the sixth winner out of Petra Nova) and overcame his inexperience on Saturday to make a winning debut for David Barron in juvenile conditions race at Musselburgh, beating 4 other winners; Runner up was seventh in Queen Mary yesterday so form looks OK and must be respected.

Owner detailsAnnunciation: Drew clear with subsequent Listed winner Euxton Hall on debut and fancied to win at Doncaster next time but had no answer towards Reckless Abandon’s late charge; Won easily at Windsor last time out and Hughes’s choice but hard to rate superior to his conqueror and others preferred.

Owner detailsCay Verde: Made a reasonable debut at Newbury when fifth to Englishman (disappointed in Coventry but form still good for level) and clearly improved when easily beating Windsor Castle winner here next time; Followed that up with taking Listed win when never really asked to do more than he had to do; Clearly got big chance here.

Owner detailsComplicator: Showed signs of promise when fourth in York maiden (took a keen hold early and was held up in race where the first three were all prominent or had led at some point during the race) but thi a totally different ball game and very hard to see him getting involved today.

Owner detailsGale Force Ten: Never got a blow in on debut at Dundalk but as so many of his stable do, he improved enough to win next time out; Runner up showed in Coventry that he’s a good yardstick

Owner detailsIan’s Dream: Backed like a good horse and showed promise on Haydock debut, running around in behind before making late progress into second; Sure to win his races but this a steep step up so soon.

Owner detailsJubilee Brig: No shame in being beaten by subsequent listed winner Celing Kitty on debut and just a neck himself behind Bungleinthejungle (won twice after being well behind Englishman at Newbury); Landed the odds in mandatory style last time out but still needs a massive step forward.

Owner detailsMister Marc: Got the better of next time out winner with lots in hand at Goodwood on debut and then sent to Ireland for Listed event, where he travelled like a good horse, giving Coventry winter Down Approached plenty to think about; Drops back in trip today and not the typical winner of this race but has to be given consideration anyway regardless.

Owner detailsMorawij: Supported into favourite for Haydock debut (produced two subsequent winners) when he got up showing marked greenness; Tons of scope

Owner detailsOcean Applause: Seemed as if he’d take more than one run to get to peak when always behind on recent Newmarket and while he was fourth behind Sir Prancelot in National Stakes at Sandown, surely flattered.

Owner detailsReckless Abandon: Very green early when making an impressive winning debut at Doncaster (beat Annunciation with plenty in hand) despite drifting wide late on; Way he raced on his own suggest more to come for maturity and sure to take a hand if coming on from that and should be high on anyone’s shortlist.

Owner detailsStorm Moon: Won both starts in taking style, with 4 winners behind him in Musselbrugh maiden before then romping home with Southwell AW maiden; Disappointed in National Stakes when batting his stablemate early for the lead but likely better than that;  Trainer’s superb record entitles him to respect but this a far tougher task.

VERDICT: A fiercely competitive renewal. The Pearl Bloodstock duo of Cay Verde and Ahern are both entitled to significant respect, but there was something extremely impressive about the way RECKLESS ABANDON went about winning his race at Doncaster (when he beat Annunciation with absolute ease), and if staying straight he should take the beating based on that form. It might not hurt to give serious consideration towards MISTER MARC as a backup. He may have been beaten last time out but it didn’t stop Approve two years ago and he gave Dawn Approach a real race when second to him as Naas. Storm Moon’s probably better than what he’s shown so far but this is a yet tougher task for him, while Morwji is an interesting and scopey sort. 

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