Saturday, 23 June 2012

Royal Ascot 2012 - Hardwicke Stakes


3.05 Royal Ascot (Day 5, Race 2)
Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)
Winner £113,420

Advice: 1 pt win, 3 pts place Aiken (4/1 general, 4/5 Bet365), 1 pt win Dunaden (11/2 general)

Owner detailsAiken: Made it 6 successive wins on the bounce when dictating the pace, being reeled in, and then drawing away from rivals in Grand Prix De Chantilly latest, following up easy listed win here time before; May well be improving once again and relishes testing ground so has to be respected seriously in bid for a seven timer.

Owner detailsAllied Powers: : Loves cut in the ground (twice a winner on heavy and last win came on very soft in France) and back to something like his best when winning Group 3 at Longchamp two starts back; Last behind Aiken latest and expect things will stay that way

Owner detailsCalico Cat: Quickly confirmed himself a useful horse when confirming the promise of his first two starts (third of 4th in Ormonde, won maiden of his own) when second in York listed event latest but behind Mephis Tennessee on that form and others preffered here.

Owner detailsDunaden: Made rapid progress throughought last year, crowned by his Melbourne Cup and Hong Kong Vase double at the backend of last year, quickening up well to get up close home at Sha Tin; Presumably being aimed that those events again this year and started well enough, although both times under a 5lbs penalty he’s been held too far back to make an impact and done best work late; Behind Aiken last time and weighted to reverse that form today, although Gosden’s choice had plenty in hand last time out; More prominent ride can see him make his mark.

Owner detailsFiorente: Caught eye on debut behind World Domination at Newbury and bolted up next time out as was expected at same course; Marked himself down as a Group winner in waiting when going under the trees here but still managing second to Nathaniel (who has subsequently won King George) from poor position, before close second to Nambian at Goodwood; Comeback was disappointing although can be forgiven with yard not in best of form at that time; Better next time out when back down to 10 furlongs, although fact he was beaten by Jet Away doesn’t give great hope; Connections put cheekpieces on but he looks second string of Stoute bunch.

Owner detailsHunter’s Light: Looked good last season in winning three starts and travelled well at Chester on comeback only to falter badly late on; Proved himself better than that when third in Brigader Gerard Stakes last time out but still needs much more here on several lines of form.

Owner detailsJakkalberry; Much improved since the switch to Marco Botti, following second to Opinion Poll and Fox Hunt when third (and staying on in eyecathing fashion) in Sheema Classic; That form would see him high on any shortlist and has got soft ground form; Interesting.

Owner detailsMemphis Tenesee: Jumped up the Ballydoyle pecking order rapidly when front running fourth in Derby last year and nearly repeated the trick in the Irish Derby; Good return in Ormonde Stakes when drawing away after steadily run race on desperately testing ground; Sure to be more suited by the pace of this race today and does go on ground with cut; Contender.

Owner detailsQuest For Peace: Looked like one to follow when landing Cumberland Lodge Stakes in good style on first Luca Cumani start; respectable fifth in Canadian Group 1 and good second in Jockey Club Stakes but badly in with Dunaden from that occasion and behind Red Cadeux on latter occasion, so others taken over him.

Owner detailsRed Cadeux: Ended fantastic progress throughought last season with close seconds to Dunaden in Melbourne Cup and Hong Kong Vase; Good return when unable to give weight and a beating to Gold Cup winner Colour Vision

Owner detailsSea Moon: Cantered home with Great Volitegur last season and then unlucky in the St Ledger when behind Masked Marvel (met trouble); Tons of promise in the Breeders’ Cup Turf when second to St Nicholas Abbey (since franked the form, and this distance gives him beating of many here): All out on recent return at 2/7 but better expected here and has to be the one to beat if he turns up at his best.

Owner detailsTestrosterone: Completely different filly for Pascal Bary when switched to front running tactics last season, winning Group 2 Malleret at Saint Cloud when given easiest of leads but then running second in Prix Vermille before Arc proved too much; Now with Ed Dunlop and while she looks a smart buy, this a tough debut for yard and in season.

VERDICT: A red hot contest which involved plenty of horses just below Group 1 company last year. Sea Moon was unlucky not to win the St Ledger and ran into a top talent when second to St Nicholas Abbey. With his Listed win (albeit a scrambling one) sure to have got him spot on, and the ground not a problem for him, he should be very hard to beat. That’s not enough to put me off AIKEN however, who has won his last 6, had more left at the finish of the Grand Prix De Chantilly, relishes testing ground, and comes from a trainer jockey combination that has had 4 winners so far this week. The original value in his price (he was 6’s earlier this week) has gone, but he still warrants an interest and the 4/5 on him making the three (place market) seems like good value. While we’re at it, why not add DUNADEN to the portfolio, who was given a poor ride off a slow pace when third to Aiken at Chantilly, and is now 7lbs better off with John Gosden’s charge. Soft ground shouldn’t be a problem to him and it would be encouraging to see him ridden more positively. Memphis Tennessee and Red Cadeux also have their chances.

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