Friday, 29 June 2012

Irish Derby 2012

7.40 Curragh
Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (group 1) (Class 1)  (3YO only)
Winner €725,000


Owner detailsAkeed Mofeed: As highly rated as Born To Sea from the same yard last season,  drawing right away in the style of a group class horse when winning his maiden, an impression he confirmed when a good second to David Livingston in the Beresford Stakes; That race turned into a bit of a slog on heavy ground, which didn’t allow Akeed Mofeed to show his superiority that day, but he cut a gap of two lengths to a half-length at the finish and still retains a lot of potential; Worry is that he’s been held up ever since and this his first run of the year, while suspicion is he hates this ground.

Owner detailsAstrology: Stepped up majorly on his two year old form when running away with Dee Stakes (not much of a race) before superb third in Derby under front running ride; Then sent to Royal Ascot but that clearly too soon afterwards when beaten early after turn in, and this will be same story after just eight more days.

Owner detailsBorn To Sea: Highly rated (full brother to champion Sea The Stars) and had been making good fist of living upto reputation to be fair to him, atoning for Guineas disappointments with better efforts the last twice in Irish Guineas her and then in St James’s Place Stakes (should have been closer on both occasions); Steps up in trip markedly here and not sure we’ll see best of him on this ground just after a hard race at Royal Ascot.

Owner detailsCamelot: Confirmed himself the unrivalled top 3 year old colt with authoritative and impressive Derby win at Epsom to follow the immense promise that his wins in Racing Post Trophy and 2,000 Guineas gave; This should be a formality based on that form but slight worry over what heavy ground presents for him and avoidable from a betting point of view on that basis.

Owner detailsImperial Monarch: Looked a horse with a future when winning first two starts (maiden and Group 3 at Sandown, both of which have gone onto work out well), with more in hand than winning distance suggests on both occasions; Sent to French Derby last time and shaped as best horse in the race when one of worst affected by barging that took place at the end of the home straight, being shuffled back to last before rattling home for eighth; May well have won that day with better passage and this trip sure to be up his street, with ground no problem; Rates a massive threat.

Owner detailsLight Heavy: Impressive progress made this season after his third on only 2yo start, winning two Derby trials in contrasting styles after impressive reappearance win at Leopardstown; Looks a good horse but not sure about him on soft ground (despite the fact he’s improved since 2nd on debut) and up in trip despite pedigree; Others preferred.

Owner detailsSpeaking Of Which: Hugely impressive when spread-eagling the opposition in the Gallinule Stakes last time, drawing right up the straight to win by 9 lengths from lower ranked Ballydoyle runner Soon; Not hard to think he could be even better than that and did look a Group 1 horse there, so a disappointment in some ways that the rain has come to cast a doubt over his chances; One to watch.

VERDICT: This revolves around Camelot, who has confirmed the superstar impression he gave us at two with wins in the 2,000 Guineas and the Derby, looking like a potential top notcher when making up several lengths upon Astrology in the latter and winning easily in the end. The withdrawal of Imperial Monarch - a horse who has no end of talent along with a love of testing ground based on his first two wins - has rendered the race completely useless from a betting perspective for me personally, and it's to be hoped that we see a Camelot win - and an easy one at that - along with Imperial Monarch sooner rather than later. 

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