1 pt win Emirates Queen, 4.45 Doncaster (3/1 general)
The betting has this down as a 3 horse race between Coplow,
Shada and Emirates Queen, and of those three Luca Cumani’s Emirates Queen makes
by far the most appeal. Beaten 18 lengths into sixth by Irish History on her
debut at Windsor, this half-sister to Dubawi wouldn’t have looked anything out
of the ordinary, but she clearly wasn’t ready on the day and never was tried
with seriously. Over today’s trip of 1m2f with that behind her, I imagine that
this will be the first time we get to see her real ability and while 3’s is a
bit shorter than I’d hoped for, it’s a good sign that there’s enough market confidence behind her chances.
Shada looks to be a genuine threat with the step up in trip
sure to suit from her only two year old start, when she was third behind Diala
and Lyric of Light on the Newmarket July Course, although she might improve
from this start, having been off the track since her debut. Coplow is said by
many to have set the standard, but she’s got no win in 5 now and looks eminently
beatable to be honest, with Starscope having been her clear superior last year
on their one meeting in a Newbury maiden. Miracle Maid can do better than her fifth
in the Pretty Polly last time but that race doesn’t look so strong and she was
beaten out of sight.
1 pt win Summer Dream, 6.30 Newmarket (5/1 general)
Marco Botti’s Summer Dream may have been no match for
impressive Albany winner Newfangled on her debut here but she shaped well herself
and might be too big at 5/1 to land what looks like a strong maiden at the
second time of asking. The Nicharos owned runner was very slow from the stalls at
the beginning (last early) and was trapped for a run most of the way through,
but then gave the impression that she would be much better second time out when
staying on into third late on behind the impressive winner and well fancied second,
and while a step up in trip to 7 furlongs might be better, she has a right to
be a bit shorter than 5/1 for tonight’s assignment. Sugar House is a rightful favourite for back
to form Godolphin – who always do well here with their 2 year olds – but she
takes up a lot of the market at 2/1 and I’m not sure whether she should be so short
in what’s a well contested maiden if you count Testamatta, who comes from the
same yard as the selection and was third (when ridden by Ted Durcan as well) in
a 6 furlong maiden that has produced some useful types down the years.
2 pts win Ultrasonic, 8.05 Newmarket (7/2 general)
Sir Michael Stoute’s form has taken a much needed turn for
the better with important and small victories during the last week, and his
Ulstrasonic looks to be one of the best chances of the day for him and Ryan
Moore (who themselves have a strong chance of a double at Doncaster) in a competitive
conditions stakes at Newmarket’s July Course.
Pitched into listed company- where she was a respectable fourth
- after a taking winning debut at Yarmouth, she could do no better than eighth on
her return at Newmarket in a competitive sprint handicap but that ran clearly
wasn’t her, with the yard in much poorer form than it was now and her having
been caught well wide against some good looking sprinters in a hot race.
Dropped to 5 furlongs last time she was a good third in the Scurry Stakes, and
while she might have been a little flattered to finish so close to Pearl Secret
and Free Zone there, it was an encouraging run and one that says she’ll be better
over todays’ trip.
James Fanshawe’s Halleujah wasn’t worked hard to land a handicap
on just her fourth start at Goodwood, and the fact that connections haven’t
gone again for a handicap off a mark of just 88 could be seen as a tip in
itself, Catfish looks to be getting her ground just in time and must be
respected upon the basis of her possibly unlucky third in the Epsom Dash, and
Pearl Diva’s Listed second commands respect, but Ultrasonic is the only place I’m
looking for the winner here.
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