Sunday, 26 August 2012

European Focus - Sunday 26th August 2012


Serie A kicks off properly today but there looks to be a dearth of real value on offer with the class teams all on offer at short prices. Of particular interests are the seasonal kicks offs of Zenek Zedman’s Roma (who are just 9/20) against Catania and Inter’s trip to Pescara. Both should win but it’s a watching brief to see how the squads are shaping up, while our second title tips Napoli go on the road to Palermo in a game that should tell us a fair amount about how they’ve progressed since the Supercup.
 
The real value to be had comes in Spain where Barcelona and Real Madrid face derbies after another tremendous El Clasico in midweek.

Madrid are winless in 2 competitive games this season but they were unlucky not to beat Valencia – they had 22 shots on goal and should have scored at least once more – and looked much more threatening going forward against Barca in midweek with the limited opportunities they had. Mourinho’s men have won seven in a row against Getafe and also won 15 in a row against other teams from the Spanish capital, so a price of evens for them to score in both halves – as they did last season 23 times when they won 15 of 17 on the road – makes a lot of appeal.

Tito Villanova’s side have made an excellent start to life under their new manager and should be capable of doing the same against Osasuna, although they get the smaller stakes given the home side’s strong record against them -  have only lost two of their last seven league games at home to Barcelona (D3 L2).

Advice

2 pts Real Madrid to score in both halves (evs Ladbrokes)

1 pt Barcelona to score in both halves (5/6 Totesport) 

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