Thursday, 2 August 2012

iShares Fillies' Stakes (Registered As The Lillie Langtry Stakes) 2012


3.45 Goodwood
iShares Fillies' Stakes (Registered As The Lillie Langtry Stakes) (Group 3) (Class 1)  (3YO plus)
Winner £31,190

Advice: 1 pt win Hawafeez (7/2 general)

Owner detailsBolivia: Previously very useful but several disappointing efforts then led to handicap mark dropping enough to comfortably win 1m6f handicap at Sandown two starts back, but well behind Hazel Lavery at Newmarket last time and won’t reverse that form.

Owner detailsClare Glen: Well behind most of these on from and Listed third two starts ago flatters her a bit.

Owner detailsHawafeez: Most impressive winner of 1m5f Listed event in May on return, following wide margin handicap win gained at back end of last season; Could well be still improving and this extra furlong is sure to suit here, so has to be high on the list.

Owner detailsJehannedarc: Winner on Deauville’s AW surface last time but this step up to pattern company will find her out.

Owner detailsMidnight Soprano: Much improved Irish mare who followed up valuable handicap double with Listed defeat of Saddler’s Rock at Leopardstown where she revelled in mud and same story when second to Hartani in Curragh Cup; This no less competitive but should be feared and there to pick up pieces should anything go wrong.

Owner detailsQuiz Mistress: Close second to Number Theory in Old New Cup last time after her second impressive handicap win of season at Salisbury the time before that, winning well over 12 furlongs; Always looked as if she would stay this extra distance but this a step up in class from mark of 90 into group company.

Owner detailsTwin Soul: All three of her wins on Polytrack and no wins in group company; Look elsewhere.

Owner detailsWild Coco: Beaten favourite in this last year, having previously beaten the impressive winner of that event in easy style before that;  Since disappointed badly at York and not seen since but on his best form hard not to see her launching serious challenge; Market will tell all for her but one to watch closely.

Owner detailsEstimate: Seventh on one and only 2yo start but all about stamina and galloping this year, as shown with her promising win at Sailsbury and her Queen’s Vase romp at Royal Ascot, where she won by 5 lengths; Could progress again but looked as if she’d be better over further than shorter that day, and does now have the 3lbs penalty in a tougher event on paper; Did it impressively but this harder.

Owner detailsAmaraja: Won 1m4f Epsom maiden last time out after running in three decent contests to start career but others make more appeal and set for handicaps.

Owner detailsGood Morning Star: Third in Bahrain Trophy last time to follow series of disappointing efforts in Group company after shock Cheshire Oaks win.

Owner detailsHazel Lavery: Well beaten on seasonal reappearance by Kaliani in Newmarket listed event (clear of rest in second) although she disappointed in Ribblesdale Stakes; Clear cut winner of weak Listed race latest but respected with the drop in trip likely to help him.

VERDICT: The most attractive proposition in this race looks to be Wild Coco, who was so progressive last year before flopping in this race, and on her best form she can win. However it’s been 350 days since we saw her, so a strong market punish would speak volumes. The Queen’s Estimate was impressive in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot, but this is tougher and she might need further than this, so HAWAFEEEZ is preferred, having romped home in a Listed event at Newbury on her seasonal debut, after which her trainer – who has a strong course record, especially at this meeting - talked about the Ascot Gold Cup for her. Hazel Lavery and Midnight Soprano are the ones to pick up the pieces if the top three don’t perform. 

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