Tuesday 12 July 2011

Today's Racing - 12th July


More than ever this weekend we’ve been arguing about the quality of racing. Thoughought the week  we drone on about it being too sparse and poor quality, and then we get a brilliant day’s racing but only with too much quality (6 races of over £30,000 in just one day in excessive no matter what). To add to it, on the day afterwards the only flat card was at Fairyhouse tomorrow while only 3 jumps card were held here. It was a day that was just begging to be filled by Ascot’s card (Sunday could be a day for purists and partygoers) but that’s life and onwards we move to today’s action.

So it was refreshing to see Racing UK take a good approach to racing that some would describe as “poor” (depending on your taste) by putting in features on the best of the July Meeting before then switching to some topical debates on targets for horses or the ability of them (thank you James Willoughby for not butchering my surname first time out) before switching to a preview of every single race in ample time for video form and the like. There was barely a gap in the programme and others could learn.

If you were asked, you wouldn’t put Yarmouth down as a typically strong 2yo track but more than a few good juveniles run there for powerful connections and the opener (6.00) is a good example. Mark Johnston’s Comical is going to be favourite based on the strength of his Redcar maiden form which saw the winner land the Superlative Stakes and also the second winning as well, form which will make him extremely tough to beat.

While he was going to be passed over in favour of Paladin that horse is a non runner and this is now a watching race with any number of good pointers, the most notable may be that last year’s winning trainer Sir Michael Stoute (who has had few runners this season but already released Russelliana) runs Croquembouche for Ballymacoll Stud. He’s not been backed as if a massive run is expected et but a morning price of 11/2 is positive. Indeed there are all kinds of persuasive paper claim, with Grand Rapids also having plenty to recommending him on breeding (from the very successful Bernandini line that has given success this season to Goldophin) and also Perfect Gratitude who went for 100,000gns at the sales earlier this year and is from a high-class family in the States for the same connections that unearthed Native Khan at this time last year.

Again at Yarmouth, England Rules (8.30) won at Windsor in May and had excuses when well beaten on his handicap bow at Sandown subsequently, as he got badly hampered in a rough race when winding up for a run. His other two runs have plenty of promise and he’s worth a decent chance, as the ground too may have been a problem last time out (many soft patches). He can beat Top Diktat (was trapped wide throughout and hampered when trying to close on the leaders at Kempton last time) Destiny Blue (who is 2-2 here) and Ferrucio (should be better for this trip).

The other bet of the day comes at Killarney, where the betting for the 6.20 seems to rely on Northern Rock, whose winning run came to an end at Tipperary in April when in search of the hat-trick but fresh from a two-month break, is once again the popular choice. He may struggle to give 11lbs to Giant Step, who was an easy winner at Cork in April, but couldn't make the transition to Group 2 company at Leopardstown. That has since been shown to be a very good renewal of the Derrinstown Stud Derby trial and he can go well here.

Advice

1 pt win England Rules, 8.30 Yarmouth (6/1 Paddy Power)

1 pt win Giant Step, 6.20 Killarney (7/2 Bet365)

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