Tuesday, 12 July 2011

Copa America - Chile v Peru & Uruguay v Mexico


After a rather hit and miss period I do hope you were with us last night as we landed 2 bets on the Argentina game. Sergio Batista’s side did look back to their best although should not be treated as any kind of certainty as Costa Rica’s side is extremely young and weakened. That said, they’ve probably got a lot more to come if they can keep playing like that. This probably marks the end of a cagey tournament and maybe class will shine through more regularly now.

Chile have been one of the best sides so far in this tournament, impressing many with their speedy play while other big names have disappointed. A win will clinch top spot in the group, whilst a draw will also ensure first place as they have scored more goals than Peru (three to two).

Chile are unbeaten in ten games since they lost in Ukraine last year. The other games they've lost in the last couple of years have been tough ones: Brazil away, Mexico away (at altitude) and Spain and Brazil in South Africa.

In this season’s Copa America they’ve turned around a 1-0 deficit to Mexico and found only Uruguay too good and even then in a stalemate, with Luis Suarez breaking the deadlock just before half time.

That said, Coach Claudio Borghi has opted to make four changes, which see a number of established stars make way for some of the less-utilised members of the squad. Alexis Sanchez, Pablo Contreras, Arturo Vidal and Mauricio Isla have all been dropped.

While a win for either Peru or Chile will see them advance to the quarterfinals as Group C winners it should be noted that they have both qualified for the quarters though- regardless of who loses in this fixture and who wins in the other fixture between Uruguay and Mexico.

Peru have been the surprise package during the group stages so far, beating Mexico and holding Uurguay thanks to a wonder goal from Hamburg’s Paolo Guerrero. By qualifying (result guaranteed) for the last eight, it will be their sixth consecutive appearance, which originally dates back to 1997.

They’re being very conservative by also dropping four of their most experienced campaigners to ensure that they will be fresh and not have any potential suspensions hanging over their heads. While that’s understandable it also removes a lot of the appeal of backing them at a big price.

Given the circumstances it might pay to back Draw/Chile as their class should tell late on if they can break down Peru, who have conceded just four goals in their last 13 internationals overall and should still present a stiff test.

Later on at 1.45 (in the morning that is), Uruguay try to kick – start their campaign are fancied to do so against Mexico, whose severely depleted team has actually performed manly against the only sides to make quick starts in Peru and Chile and hold plenty of hope for the future, especially when the disciplinary shambles if solved and they get back to full strength. For now though, the value looks to like with Uruguay and backing the double result could prove successful.

Advice

1 pt Draw/Chile (3/1 Skybet)

1 pt Uruguay-Uruguay double result (10/11 Betfred) 

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