Tuesday 23 October 2012

Champions League - Matchday 3 (23rd October 2012)


Spartak Moscow (7/4) v Benfica (17/10)

Spartak have only won one of their last 15 Champions League matches and look vulnerable against Benfica if they defend as badly as they did when losing a lead against Celtic here when the two last met. The Russians have lost their next two games since, admittedly against strong Russian opposition, but Benfica can be placed in the same rank and showed their credentials for this kind of trip when going down bravely to Zenit in the away leg of their Last 16 last year. 

Advice: 1 pt Benfica (17/10 general)

BATE (13/5) v Valencia (6/5)

Given their travel woes – they’ve lost four and drawn one of their 5 games on the road this season, albeit with three of them being Real Madrid, Bayern Munich and Barcelona – Valencia don’t make for great looking 6/5 favourites on the road to BATE, who showed their credentials for this competition when beating Bayern Munich 3-1. A similar performance against the Spanish, who haven’t shown their best on the road and don’t boast the side of old thanks to financial difficulties, would see Los Che in for an uncomfortable night.

Advice: 1 pt BATE (13/5 general)

Barcelona (1/10) v Celtic (33)

Even with the fact that they’re free to target this completion above all others, a start of 4 points from their opening two games is a dream start for Celtic. On paper Barcelona are miles clear of the Scots and despite the incredible results of the past for Celtic in Europe, this might be a mismatch. Barcelona could well be more than one infront before half time.

Advice: 1 pt Barcelona -1 on half time handicap (5/4 general)

Nordsjaelland (21/5)  v Juventus (2/5)

Juventus have a crucial chance to get their foot in the race for Group E qualification with a win over Nordsjelland. The Italian Champions haven’t quite hit the same form in Europe that they have been at home but they’re still unbeaten in a staggering 25 away games and deserved a point at the least from their trip to Stamford Bridge, even if Shakhtar should have gotten more than a point from their trip to Turin. The Danish debutants haven’t disgraced themselves so far, but have lost by two goals or more in both matches.  

Advice: 1 pt Juventus -1 (21/20 general)

Galatasaray (8/11) v Cluj (9/2)

Galatasaray suffered a hammer blow for their qualification hopes when they were beaten by Braga, but Cluj have lost 4 of their last 5 and if they can’t be beaten at home, then it’s truly curtains for the Turks. They should have just enough to gain a home win, but they’re not for anything more than small stakes.

Advice: 1 pt Galatasaray (8/11 Coral)

Lille (6) v Bayern (4/7)

Missed chances cost Bayern dear when they went down for the first time this season in a 3-1 loss at BATE, but they had 13 shots, 14 corners and 66 per cent possession against a side that beat hapless Lille 3-1 on the first Matchday. They’ve not failed to cover a 1 goal start in the Bundesliga so far this season and look excellent value to do so once again at 13/8.

Advice: 2 pts Bayern -1 (13/8 Ladbrokes)


                                                               Manchester United (4/11) v Braga (9)                               

The way in which Braga beat Galatasaray the last time the two met is a serious marker for Manchester United, who were lucky to beat Galatasaray and failed create anything of note for long period of their game against Cluj. Their Premier League games have been a different matter with Wayne Rooney and Robin Van Persie causing havoc, but this is a tougher test and this is sure to prove yet harder so the 1 goal winning margin might be the best value.

Advice: 1 pt Manchester United to win by one goal (3/1 Ladbrokes)


Shaktar (6/4) v Chelsea (85/40)

This is the tie of the night with Shaktar unbeaten in 28 games, winning 26 of those, and having scored in all of their 16 games this season, taking on Premier League leaders Chelsea, who stormed to an impressive 4-2 win over Tottenham in midweek to make it seven wins in eight games so far including trips to Arsenal and Tottenham. Shaktar will be a hellish away trip for Di Matteo’s Blues, but this season’s vintage looks to be one of their finest teams and in what looks sure to a cracking encounter, can make a statement of their European intentions as well as their domestic ones. Both teams to score looks to be a staple but Chelsea are far too temptingly priced to take all the points from Ukraine.

Advice: 3 pts Both Teams to Score (3/4 Bwin, 8/11 general), 2 pts Chelsea to win and both teams to score (24/5 Coral) 

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