Wednesday, 3 October 2012

Champions League 2012/13: Group B


Arsenal (4/9 Group, 20/1 Tournament)
2011-12 Champions League: Lost 3-4 on aggregate to AC Milan in the Round of 16 (lost 4-0 away, won 3-0 home)
Manager: Arsene Wenger 
Captain: Thomas Vermaelen

Another summer, another pair of top class players leaving Arsenal only to be replaced with – at least on all the evidence that we have so far during the Premier League season – two players of similar quality. It begs the question why can’t Arsenal ever keep their best players, as you’d like to think they could be real contenders for trophies and a much stronger European force.  Five of the first-choice outfield starters from the 2010-11 season (Gael Clichy, Alex Song, Cesc Fabregas, Samir Nasri, Robin van Persie) have left the club, with the departures of Song and Van Persie over the summer hammer blows to any hopes of a European challenge.

To be fair to Wenger, he at least acted quickly in preparations for the departures of Song and Van Persie for quicker than Fabregas and Nasri’s departures over the last two seasons. Lukas Podolski was brought in from Cologne for just £11m and already looks like a steal on the basis of his three goals so far, while Oliver Giroud – Ligue 1’s joint top goalscorer last year with 21 goals – came for £13m just a few weeks later. Admittely he’s been the least impressive of the new players so far but there’s still time for him to get on the scoresheet and his effectiveness probably won’t matter until the latter stages. Both are the kind of player Arsenal have long been accused of lacking over the past few seasons – an experienced forward with a proven track record of goals –but even better is the addition of Santi Cazorla from Malaga, a world class and crucially extremely versatile midfielder at his best who was instrumental in pushing Malaga to fourth in La Liga last season and has already dazzled in only a handful of appearances.

The rest of the team is in much the same mould as last season – although Diaby’s injury is unfortunate and untimely especially in European context – but there’s a worry that when they go on the road, Arsenal lack the quality (in defensive terms especially) to really trouble the big guns, as AC Milan showed last year.

Schalke (12/5 Group, 100/1 Tournament)
2011-12 Champions League: DNQ
Manager: Huub Stevens 

Captain: Benedikt Howedes

Schalke have been knocking on the European door in recent seasons, making the quarter finals of the Europa League – and being involved in an absolute classic when going down 4-2 to finalists Athletic Bilbao – having made the semi-finals of the 2010/11 Champions League as well.

With 60,000 going to the Veltins regularly it’s no surprise that Schalke have the sixth biggest attendance and plenty of quality in a side which has one of the hottest strikers in world football in the shape of Klaas Jan Huntellar, scorer of an incredible 48 goals in 47 outings last term and also of the two crucial goals second-half goals on the final day of last season against Werder Bremen to ensure Schalke's place in the Champions League.

He is joined by the exciting midfield pairing of Lewis Holtby – scorer of 16 in the league and 25 overall from midfield, while also providing six assists once the campaign had gone – and Ibrahim Afellay, who played a massive part in the destiny of this title when providing a superb assist for Lionel Messi’s first goal in the semi-final against Real Madrid, only to be criminally underused since.  Exciting youngster Julias Draxler gives the side another bit of thrust from wide areas but the reality is that they should come up short against one of Europe’s elite, although a long run would be no surprise at all.


Olympiakos (50/1 Group, 500/1 Tournament)
2011-12 Champions League: 3rd in Group F, DNQ for knockout stages
Manager: Leonardo Jardim
Captain: Vasilis Torosidis

Olympiakos are known as one of the toughest trips in football – they’ve won their domestic title in 12 of the last 14 season and did the double last season – but they came up well short in Europe last season and may well do so again this time around. A lack of funding – the Greek Super League is as weak as it’s ever been thanks to the economic climate in recent history.

Their home record is the cornerstone of their Champions League season – they’ve won 34 out of their 50 games at home – but they’ve lost 44 on their travels, which made it so worrying that they were deservedly beaten by Shackle in Piraus on Matchday 1 with Klaas Jan Huntellaar missing a penalty, with trips to the Emirates and Veltins Arena to come.

There’s the main issue of quality in the side, which has been severely affected by the losses over the summer of not only Olof Mellberg and Parblo Orbais but 20 goal starlet Kevin Mirallas, who has showed the Greeks’ what they’re missing with some sterling performances for Everton so far this year. There were only two other players to score more than four in the team last year, which underlines their plight.

Montepllier (20/1 Group, 500/1 Tournament)
2011-12 Champions League: DNQ
Manager: Rene Girard
Captain: Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa

Montpellier’s fairytale Ligue 1 triumph last year over the big spending PSG was the thing of legend but all good things must come to an end and to say that Rene Girard’s side have made an underwhelming start to the season would be an understatement in the least. Just two wins in 7 League matches leaves them 13th in their defence of the title, while their first foray into the Champions League saw them lose an early lead to Arsenal despite a strong first half.

It begs the question; What happened? Many will point to the depature of top scorer Oliver Giroud towards Arsenal, and his 21 goals—a tally good enough to tie him at the league lead alongside Paris Saint-Germain's Nene – were a huge part of their title victory last season. Not only that though, but one of the tightest defences in France last year kept 13 clean sheets in 19 games, key to edging the battle with big money guns PSG.

Most of that was down to the excellent work of Mapou Yanga Mbwia – now an established centre back with the National side – but the team lacks any real star turns in the side apart from Younes Blehanda and Emilano Herrera, both scorers of two goals in the League this season. Souleymane Camara leads the scoring charts with three but none of them can expect to be going very far in the league.

VERDICT: This should be between Arsenal and Schalke, both of whom have excellent European group records and both of whom have far greater talent than Olympiakos and Montpellier, who have lost their main strikers from last season and looked vulnerable anyway in defeats on Matchday one.


Advice: No bet. 

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