12.55 Longchamp
Qatar Prix De L'Abbaye De Longchamp (Group 1) (Class 1) (2YO plus)
Winner €200,234
Advice: 1 pt win Mayson (9/2 general), Wizz Kid (8/1
general)
Moinesur Joe: Took Listed contest at Deauville (very soft,
5f) to follow up back to form Listed third at York and while unplaced efforts
in the three other Group 1 sprints he’s contests this season suggested that he’s
not upto this class, 5rf trial win speaks differently and drawn well enough to
make real go of it; Chance.
Taajub: Fine third to Swiss Sprit in Newbury Group 3 latest
marked improvement (worked his way back to the 2yo form he had once shown) but
untested on anything worse than good; Opposable.
Mayson: Improved beyond recognition this season, bolting up
in 5 and 6f Listed contests at the beginning of the campaign in Newmarket and
then suffering pair of disappointments when stepped up in class in midsummer
but excuses for both and brought back to form when handling the ground better
than anyone to romp home in July Cup over 6f last time; That form sets high
standard in this field, ground will provide the test at the trip that he wants,
and plum draw in stall 1, so has to be strongly considered.
Inxile: Versatile enough groundwise and has always been
there or thereabouts in all manner of sprints over 5f, but beaten fair and
square over C&D BY Moinesure Joe
when he had the lead and hard to see him holding off the challengers today.
Ballesteros: Mudlover who revelled in wet summer to land
valuable pair of 5f handicaps at Sandown and Chester and gets his ground once
again bust stall 13 potentially problematic and much more needed today.
Bordlescott: Back to winning form when beneficiary of great
ride to turn back the clock to days of old when landing Beverley Bullet; Winning
form on soft ground plenty of times but hard not to think he’s behind his best.
Swiss Spirit: Showed sprinting potential since 2yo days and
took advantage of drop to 5 furlongs latest
when holding off Kingsgate Native, although that one unlucky in running and
will have to get all the gaps if he’s to be winning like that there; Unraced on
anything slower than good and while draw has come right for him, others make
more appeal.
Humidor: Beaten on all efforts since landing Listed Doncaster
race a year ago but has posted decent efforts the last twice in Group 2 and 1
company; Needs luck anyway and stall 14 puts one off his chances.
Secret Asset: Second in this and unlucky not to win last
year, and while he’s lad a less successful build up this year, he has shown the
talent still remains, especially when third in Singapore Group 1 on soft
ground; Tempting but widest of all in 18 which puts on off his chances.
Sole Power: One of the biggest form chances (arguably form
horse of the field here) following his consistent efforts since Nunthrope win
and could easily have won two or three more Group 1’s; Easy win at Listed level
latest but wants it fast underfoot and drawn in the carpark; Maybe today not
his day.
Spirit Quartz: Running well in defeat since his move to
Britain, placing in succession of top races and doing so once again when fourth
in Coral Charge and then once again when second to Ortensia the last twice; Won’t
be too far away and does have soft ground form, so high on the list.
Hamish McGonagall: Suited by a flat 5 furlongs like no other,
as his third in the Nunthorpe (set blistering fractions) shows; Ideally drawn
to do same thing so no reason why he can’t run a big race once again, although
ground not what he’d have wanted at all.
Tiddiliwinks: Made waves when winning pair of 6f Group races
in 2012, but suspicion that his ideal trip not furthered by his fairly once
paced fifth in Newbury Group 3 latest;
Definightly: Revels in testing ground, as shown by the fact
that three of his seven wins are pattern races which took place on testing
ground; Has shown enough speed to win over 5 before but needs more than that today,
although tempting with things as soft as they are.
Govinda: Took Hamburg Group 3 for second time in June and
nothing to suggest that he’s upto this level over 5f; No wins at this trip.
Tangerine Trees: Made all to win this last year but not
placed since (albeit in some very tough races); That said, will be taken on at
the front of the race and needs more today with ground as it is from stall 19.
Beyond Desire: Speedy front runner who is best suited by
making the running at this trip, as she showed when landing Mares’s Group 3 at
Longchamp; Not won since and worry that one of draw or ground will find her
out.
Wizz Kid: Showed real potential as sprinter last year and
won Chantilly 5f Group 3 for the second year running in June; Not quite at best
since but had excuses at Ascot and clearly has the spped for this trip as shown
by earlier wins; Ground come right for her and while she’ll need luck at this
trip, we have to win
VERDICT: Heavy ground and the nature of Longchamp’s alternative
sprint course quickly draw us to MAYSON, who relished the heavy ground so well
to win the July Cup at Newmarket from the front and has the plum draw in stall
1 assuming that he breaks well, and WIZZ KID, who goes on deep ground, has a
good slot in stall 6, and has shown signings of making a big challenge to land
a Group 1 sprint over the past year. Both will need luck but if they can get it
then they make obvious appeal. Never discount the outsiders, and Definightly should
be highlighted as a horse who adores this ground and has a workdable draw,
while Secret Asset’s Group 1 third in Singapore shows he does have the talent
to take a hand if all goes well form his horror stall of 18.
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