Saturday 20 October 2012

Qipco British Champions Fillies' And Mares' Stakes 2012


2.55 Ascot
Qipco British Champions Fillies' And Mares' Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1)  (3YO plus)
Winner £151,702

Advice: 1 pt win Sapphire (5/2 general)

Owner detailsDancing Rain: Best 3yo filly of what has turned out to be a very strong crop last year when winning not only Oaks at Epsom and Germany, but also last year’s renewal of this; This first run since being well held in Japan last November (not right then) and while no surprise to see big effort, lack of fitness may count against her at business end.

Owner detailsJehanedarc: Gone from Deauville AW winner to Group class performer in last two races, staying on into second at Goodwood behind Wild Coco and then fourth in strong Listed event at Newmarket; Needs more.

Owner detailsLa Pomme d’Amour: Progressive in typical Andre Fabre style to win three of her four starts this year, including 1m4f Group 2 at Deavuille latest where she ran down strong yardstick late on in good style; That form gives her great chance despite his disappointment in Vermille last time, and has to be respected having come over from Fabre yard.

Owner detailsSapphire: Improved hand over fist this season, romping home both times she’s won over 12f, taking her record to 3-3 over this distance, all of them on ground soft or worse; That makes her extremely attractive choice today with ground as it is and stable having already plundered three big prizes from UK this season.

Owner detailsTestosterone: Last season’s best (second in the Vermellie after winning two Group races at 1m4f last season, both from the front, one on very deep ground) gives her chance but not shown anything in two runs this season and hard to recommend after fairly long break.

Owner detailsGreat Heavens: Has to be arguably the most progressive filly seen this season, winning 4 in a row on teting ground including the Irish Oaks (beat Shirocco Star and was convcingly), and no shame in Arc sixth; Only worry is if the Arc exertions haven taken their toll, which has to be big danger having had just two weeks in-between the races.

Owner detailsSemayyel: Impressive winner latest but that was a weak event to say the least, and no gruantee she enjoys this ground today; Class will find her out.

Owner detailsShirocco Star: Ran a blinder in Oaks when second to Was, having been too keen and interrupted at the top of Epsom Hill before failing to get past was by a neck; Slammed into second by Princess Highway at Ascot although she was drawn poorly and had little to no cover all the way ground; Since gone well in Irish and Yorkshire Oaks, and addition of blinkers did looked to have worked when going down by just a head at Longchamp in Group 2; Needs more here.

Owner detailsVow: Not gone on from huge promise of first three starts, where she won first two by combined total of 10 lengths and then was fourth in Oaks (only just behind Was and Shirocco Star); If back to best, interesting, but hard to foresee her winning today and no market moves to suggest so.

Owner detailsWas: Enterprising ride to become winner of Oaks in tactical affair but to her credit, has run to same level of form in Irish Oaks, Nassau Stakes and Yorkshire Oaks since, and would have been interesting here had it not been for worsening of ground; Gone on heavy when fourth in Irish Oaks but wants it fast to be effective enough to have serious winning shot, so others preffered.

VERDICT: A competitive renewal of this race at it’s current spot in calendar, with last year’s winner Dancing Rain returning. William Haggas’s filly is as good as any but hasn't run since last November, which gives the onus to Great Heavens and SAPPHIRE for this race given the soft ground. Great Heavens could be called the better of the two, but a hard race in the Arc may have taken it’s toll (with only two weeks inbetween) and Dermot Weld’s filly gets the vote. L'Pomme D'Amour should also go well. 

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