Giovanni Trapattoni’s Ireland are arguably the second best
home nation behind England – however much you think that says about the
standard of UK football – but they may be put in their place by Germany tonight
at the Aviva Stadium. The Irish reached their first major tournament for a decade
at Euro 2012 but were badly exposed by an elite group which included Champions
Spain and Runners up Italy, losing each game by at least 2 goals.
With Richard Dunne injured and Kevin Doyle, Glenn Whelan and
Sean St Ledger all out before they lost Robbie Keane today, they looked there
for the taking and no matter how defensive they are tonight, a German side
amongst the best in the world should have far too much. Germany are more than
capable of covering a 1 goal handicap, but even better value may be found in
going over 2.5 goals – a result which has been covered in 21 of Germany’s last
23 games.
Meanwhile England should finally give an exhibition of
decent football against San Marino, the most hapess side in International
football. They have lost their last 19 competitive matches 'to nil', conceding
101 goals in the process, an average of just over five per game. A -5 goal
headstart has been whittled down to 4/6 but still looks more than fair,
although 7 and 8-0 correct score bets aren’t too silly given that they managed
to put 6 past Andorra here at Wembley two years ago, while 10-0 isn’t the worst
guess at 20/1 given how Holland stuck 11 past them in their last qualifying
campaign.
Advice
6 pts Over 2.5 goals in Ireland v Germany (8/11 general)
1 pt Germany -1 (5/4 Blue Sq)
1 pt 7-0 England (9/1 Hills)
1 pt 8-0 England (12/1 Hills)
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