Saturday, 20 October 2012

Champion Stakes 2012

4.05 Ascot
QIPCO Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) (Class 1)  (3YO plus)
Winner £737,230

Advice: 3 pts Cirrus Des Aigles w/o Frankel (4/6 Hills), 2 pts Frankel, Cirrus Des Aigles, Nathaniel straight tricast (6/4 Ladbrokes)

Owner detailsBullet Train: Pacemaker for Frankel who has done fine job; Same asked of him again.

Owner detailsCirrus Des Aigles: Announced himself as the top class Group 1 performer he’d been threatening to be for some time with victory in this last year and gone from strength to strength since, winning Dubai Sheema Classic and Prix Ganay in equally impressive style despite winning distances being vastly different; As impressive as he’s ever been when winning Prix Dollar from comeback by 9 lengths in heavy ground, and has his conditions today for all that it’s not going to be that bad again; Facing greatest test in Frankel but frightening to think that he might improve for his comeback after while off and can throw down big challenge.

Owner detailsFrankel: Has confirmed himself to be one of the greats this year with 4 more Group 1 wins, including a truly special demolition of top class Excelebration (runs in QE11 earlier, winner of Jacques Le Marois) in Queen Anne and first and only win at 10f in Juddmonte International latest; Far and away clear of these on form and testing ground the only real obstacle, but should retire (if he does so after this) unbeaten as one of the all-time greats with 14 wins from 14 starts.

Owner detailsMaster Of Hounds: Ran on strongly to win valuable 1m prize on debut for this yard last month in Turkey but never run on slower than good and huge amount to find anyway; Huge amount to find.

Owner detailsNathaniel: Proven every bit as good at four as he was last year when winning King George (also fifth in this behind Cirrus Des Aigles), putting in unbelievable shift to win Eclipse on seasonal debut, before second in King George (to last year’s Arc winner Danedream) and in Irish Champion (to the top class Snow Fairy) before poor blood test robbed him of Arc chance. Goes on this ground but third best on form and hard to see him reversing last year’s form despite fact he’s a better horse this time around.

Owner detailsPastorious: Shock winner of Germany derby but has proven himself to be the best of his age Group in that nation by far, winning all aged Group 1 by 8 lengths and then pushing Danedream as close as 1 length; 3yos been sub-standard this year but deserving of this accolade


VERDICT: Despite soft ground his should be a memorable end to the career of FRANKEL, who can retire as one of the great horses of all time with 14 wins under his belt. Fittingly, his last race against French machine CIRRUS DES AIGLES may be the one which tests him most of all, with Corrine Barande Barbe’s mare having won his last four races on testing ground by long margins totalling 36 lengths. Nathaniel should take third, so the tricast at 6/4 looks to be the best value in this race, with Cirrus now 8/15 in the “without Frankel” market, although he's already been advised beforehand during the week. Those looking for some extra value should consider Frankel to win by under 6 lengths at 11/10 with Ladbrokes.  

*Cirrus is now back to 4/6 in the "Without Frankel Market"  with Hills and that price is deserving of big support. 

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