Friday, 15 April 2011

Scottish Champion Novice's Chase 2011


2.20 Ayr
Scottish Sun Future Champion Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (Class 1)  (5YO plus)
Winner £17,103

Pick: Giorgio Quercus (win)

Giorgio Quercus: Promoted to finish ahead of Dan Breen on third chasing start (form boosted since); Well beaten in Arkle but this much easier and trip will suit, so strong chance.

Premier Sagas: Making very decent headway this season, having won two races in easy style (dotted up from useful horse second last run); Disappointed at the festival in Novices Handicap Chase but this test easier and may go well with easy lead.

Stagecoach Pearl: Has won 4 out of his last 5 races in handicaps, winning by 15 lengths off 140 when he was left clear at the last; Well beaten second behind Finian’s Rainbow in Grade 2 at Warwick and nearly last in Arkle.

Gilbarry: Interesting on form with Dan Breen at Bangor, conceding 7lbs and blundering four out; Unable to cut much ice in the Maghull but that much stronger contest, although he’ll need to be better to do so here.

Nadiya De La Vega: Is two from two over fences here, bolting up in useful race at Warwick before getting better of useful rival after belting the second last at Kempton; Disappointed on next two starts but this just the type of race she like (small field) and worth another chance.

Sam Lord: Well behind The Knoks last time having made a massive blunder 5 out and this would appear to be too tough again.

Soft Spoken Guy: Drew steadily clear from two out when winning last time but that 12 days ago and this much harder.

VERDICT: Not a strong renewal and a good opportunity for GIORGIO QUERCUS for get back to winning ways following on from a good effort in the Arkle last time. 

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