Friday 29 April 2011

Newmarket Guineas Meeting - Palace House Stakes 2011


3.45 Newmarket

Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £28,385

Pick: Astrophysical Jet (win)

Astrophysical Jet: Drop back to this trip has been the making of her, realizing belated promise shown when fairly bolting up under heavy weight in Newmarket handicap before good third in King George Stakes; easy wins in Flying Five Stakes & Newbury Group three mark her down as top prospect for this season and one of main players here.

Borderlescott: Loveable veteran who outdid himself last season, coming third in the King’s Stand and winning a Group two in the Process; Has every chance if he’s still got ability at his age although that has to be doubted just a little now.

Evens And Odds: Winner of the Stewards Cup at Glorious Goodwood but not won since until taking 6 furlongs conditions contest at Thirsk; Well beaten on forays into Group company and lot of ground to make up.

Group Therapy: Improved a ton for joining the Noseda yard (now with David Barron), fairly bolting up in conditions race at Beverley before coming a close second to Triple Aspect at Sandown (decent event) and career best when second in Group two (decent efforts afterwards); Can be expected to go close for sponsors today.

Iver Bridge Lad: Close enough second to Jimmy Styles in big sprint at Doncaster and done well in picking up minor events recently either side of that; Should run well without winning this today again after close second in poorer event here last time.

Johnny Mudball: Looked as if he could make a group class sprinter when tonking his field at Newcastle and retained all that ability despite not gaining that big handicap win (6 furlongs cannot have been a help to him on either occasion); Drop back will be a help but this a good renewal and has a poor record fresh (flopped on comeback at this meeting last year).

Mister Hughie: Began to make up into a very useful sprinter last season, fourth in Group two before winning Listed event; Failed to hold form since though and has more questions than most to answer.

Prohibit: Has continued progression throughout winter in Dubai, taking valuable event by a head before respectable fifth in high class Al Quoz sprint; Should be spot on for big run here.

Rain Delayed: Looked like he was on his best form when second to a highly regarded horse at Newbury (thought of as Group class by many, including trainer) latest but this harder and will do well to get placed.

Secret Asset: Made only one foray into Group company (third at Newbury last year) and sixth in Stewards Cup afterwards; Not really progressed form that and although decent efforts the last twice, will likely get taken off his feet.

Sole Power: Considered for this on one run & one run only (not forgetting he was fourth in this last year) which is his Nunthrope win; Should be better for comeback and that form gives him beating of others here but flattered by that on all evidence.

Tangerine Trees: Continued his ascent up the sprinting ranks by making all to win Rous Stakes here when last seen & can go on this year but form of that win suspect and had only a head in hand; This far tougher.

Breathless Kiss: Has it all to be doing here based on lacklustre run last time.

Lisselan Diva: Won handicaps at Deauville and Fontainebleau last year and minor event at latter track on return; That suggests she has a lot of ground to make up and conditions underfoot today not going to suit her either.

Artic Feeling: Made winning debut at Southwell in March and proved most consistent since but never really up to pattern company, must train on, and has a lot to prove as a three year old.

VERDICT: Sole Power’s Nunthrope win flatters him and despite him having his best conditions today, he’s passed over.  A bold bid can be expected from the sponsors’ Group Therapy, but the upwardly mobile ASTROPHYSICAL JET looked as if she’d make a high class sprinter this year and she’s taken to confirm that promise. Borderlescott & Prohibit make most appeal of the others, with Johnny Mudball’s fitness a concern. 

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