Monday, 18 April 2011

Weekend Review & Today's racing - 18th April 2011


Well what a weekend that was and our hopes and dreams are still alive in the shape of Frankel after his Greenham win. Everyone’s nerves are surely more relaxed now, given the horse has confirmed he’s fit and well with a rather taking win in the end, although if we’re talking about win lost or draw then it was surely a draw. All the hopes and dreams of the fans and more notably the man who felt that £550,000 was best placed on him are still intact, but those who felt that he was beatable have still had their concerns ratified.

Frankel - Potentially brilliant but tendency to pull
Although he won easily in the end, his tendency to pull (understandable given the freshness and lack of pace in the race) was still there and it took him a full 4 furlongs to relax. There’ll be more pace on in the Guineas, although he’ll need to settle much better than that to win against better horses, and while everyone wants to see him win, I can’t be taking 1-2 about him now.

Speaking of the same trio, on the same day, World Domination bolted up in his maiden just a few hours later. As impressive as it was, the Derby is less than seven weeks away and he’s won a maiden in taking style on debut (albeit a maiden that should work out well) and he’s now shorter than the Racing Post Trophy 1-2. He seems to be this short on homework reputation and the fact that Frankel’s not a confirmed Derby starter, and while he could be anything I’d rather take reduced odds after a trial (he may go for the Newmarket Stakes on Guineas day) – There’s only 7 or so weeks until the Derby.

At Sunday, the most important pointer may have been towards the Gold Cup with the appearance of Fame and Glory at Navan in the Saval Beg stakes. Many were distinctly unimpressed but he (like all of the O’Brien runners, even this season) needed the race badly and cannot have been suited by a slow gallop early on (dropping to farcical scenes down the back straight). At one point at the top of straight he did travel like he’d make short work of it but he got there in the end and he did have a 7lbs Group 1 penalty – He got beaten in a similar contest last season before winning his next 4 on the trot, including two Group 1’s and it should be a case of onwards and upwards – 5’s for the Ascot Gold Cup is more than fair.

Siren’s Song got Oaks quotes - was cut to 20-1 (from 50) by Stan James for the Investec Oaks and by William Hill to 25-1 (from 40) -   after winning the Salsabil Stakes yesterday and can improve for that, but it might be best waiting for another run from her. I’m convinced that Fran Berry had a lot to do with the win. Speaking of the Oaks, it’s surprising to see Misty For Me still at 10/1. She had to show a lot of class to beat Helleborine in France on Arc day and she already goes on all types of ground.

Moving onto today’s racing, at Windsor I’ll take a chance on Wooden King in the Reading Post Handicap (6.50). He’s a front runner who won 4 of last 7 starts in handicaps last season, rising 15lbs in the process. He may well need the run but this really looks closer than the market suggest and although he might need it, so will many others and he’s worth an each/way poke at his price.

In the last (Download Trainer Magazine From App Store Handicap, 7.50) it may pay to take a chance on The Holyman, who’s a son of Footstepsinthesand who won his only at Lingfield in October and he’s the most unexposed horse in a tight race.

Advice

1 pt each/way Wooden King, 6.50 Windsor (18/1 Boylesports)

1 pt each/way The Holyman, 7.50 Windsor (9/1 Paddy Power)

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