Saturday, 30 April 2011

Newmarket Guineas Meeting - 1,000 Guineas 2011


3.15 Newmarket
Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO only)
Winner £213,739

Pick: Moonlight Cloud (win) & Misty For Me (each/way)

Barefoot Lady: Came right away on debut despite needing plenty of stoking and achieved a lot more when winning at St Ledger festival next, doing job just as nicely, and not disgraced when third and second in Group/Listed contests at backend of last year; Feisty winner of Nell Gwyn on return and while she merits place in field (supplemented) this much harder.

Blue Bunting: Shaped really well when runner-up on debut on the July Course behind Theyskens Theory (who has gone on to win a Group 3 and come third in the Fillies’ Mile); Pulled clear with subsequent winner when going one better following month and showed good attitude when winning listed contest here; Change in ground is question mark but is fairly priced.

Cape Dollar: Showed plenty of promise on her debut when third at Newmarket and took major steps forward with every run, improving from her Goodwood third (soft) to take the Rockfel on her final start; Disappointed on her comeback although she had valid excuses (seasonal debut, trip, track postion/draw) and harder to fancy.

Elshabakiya: One of race’s strongest form contenders going down by only a length to Maqaasid on debut, then Crying Lightening next time out; Only went down by a neck to Dubawi Gold on seasonal reappearance but well behind principals in Nell Gwyn and unlikely to feature.

Empowering: Made steady progression thoughought last year and kept on from where she left off when making all to land 1,000 Guineas trial at Leopardstown latest; Had plenty in had form a useful yardstick and vibes suggests she’s a good horse, so not without consideration.

Havant: Impressive maiden debut winner and bolted up in Oh So Sharp Stakes, travelling like winner from some way out and shooting clear of field; Both those starts on soft ground but doesn’t particularly shape as if she needs cut & sire has 14% winners/to runners ratio on good – to firm; Step up to mile needed and could be special.

Hooray: One of best two year olds of last season, winning Lowther, Sirenia & Cheveley Park Stakes with ease from the front; Has some of the best form claims if she trains on but bigger problem may be step up to a mile.

I Love Me: Made a mark as a potential group horse when coming right away to win big sales race on debut and unable to handle softer ground when fifth next time; Running down Cape Dollar at finish of Rockfel (saw lots of daylight) and can do better again this year although form of that race been let down since.

Immortal Verse: Impressive winner of debut conditions race at Deauville and best of rest behind key player Helleborine in Prix D’Amule; Given way that race has worked out, disappointing on return and likely to need further; Ground this fast a problem.

Laughing Lashes: Progressed with every run as a juvenile, showing plenty of talent when runner-up in maiden at the Curragh, Group 3 at Leopardstown, and in Moyglare; Did get better of Misty For Me in Debuante and entitled to be there at finish.

Make A Dance: Comfortable maiden winner here at the backend of last year, shaping as if she was very much a three – year old and set for much bigger and better things this year; Can and will do better but this a better race on faster ground and lot to prove.

Maqaasid: Showed immense promise on debut and realized that very quickly when winning Queen Mary Stakes in course record time, but failed to build on that when failing to stay in both the Lowther and Chevley Park Stakes; Stamina no problem when making good return (would have been better for a mile) under penalty and likely to show up well, win, lose or draw.

Memory: Seemed set to be champion juvenile for most of last season, beating quality Albany field and overcoming adverse passage to take Cherry Hinton Stakes with ease; Disappointment in Moygalre Stakes (never really in it) but if that run forgiven huge player and lot of strong signals form in form yard (stamina assured by trainer jockey).

Misty For Me: Hugely progressive through last year, stepping off maiden win to come second in Debutante and reversing form with Laughing Lashes to grab all the way win in Moyglare Stakes; Surpassed that when outbattling Helleborine to win Marcel Boussac and big player today with attitude and versatility to stand her in good stead.

Moonlight Cloud: Winner on debut at Deauville by two and a half lengths, and further confirmed her class when gliding into the lead to romp away with conditions event by six lengths; Thrown in at deep end when admirable effort to come fourth to Wotton Bassett in Prix Jean Luc and only getting better based on impressive win over Helleborine in Prix Imprudence, and can only step forward from that.

Nova Hawk: Steadily progressive as a juvenile, coming runner up in pair of listed races at backend of last year; Impressive winner of Prix La Camargo but that form needs improving on and has to show she handles quicker ground.

Show Rainbow: Took four tries to break duck last year, having seemingly ‘spurted’ two chances before coming right away from field on heavy in October; Ran a good race in Nell Gwyn but the winner (Barefoot Lady) & third (Maqaasaid) were going away at the finish and promise to be better over today’s trip of a mile.

The Shrew: Decent juvenile (won and second once, disappointed final run) and ready winner of a 1m AW handicap last month and can go on again form that, but not in this company.

Together: One of most consistent fillies of last year, following Moyglare fourth with Fillies Mile second; Would have won sales race here but for hanging and unable to cope with tight track in Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf; Disappointed on face of it in seasonal return, and while drop back to a mile and clearer run ought to suit (will be fitter now as well), hasn’t got the finish in her for a classic.

VERDICT: Many have expressed concerns over the ground for Havant but a mile on this surface promises to suit her. The result of the 2,000 Guineas yesterday proved how important being race – fit is in these events and MOONLIGHT CLOUD, so promising when fourth behind the top colts in the Prix Jean Luc and so impressive when putting away Helleborine in the Prix Imprudence, can take the biggest step of all and land what looks like a cracking renewal. Marcel Boussac/Moyglare winner Misty For Me is feared most, and looks a value each/way alternative to confirm her superiority over Laughing Lashes, and Memory, who is much better than she showed at the Curragh but still short for one that was so well beaten.  Hooray has some of the best form but how she’ll do over a mile in a much better race remains to be seen. I Love Me is best of the remainder. 

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