Wednesday, 27 April 2011

El Clasico 2 (Champions League, First Leg) - Real Madrid v Barcelona


Football doesn’t get much bigger than this. The biggest club Derby in world football not only with all of the kudos of a victory over your enteral rivals, but the prize of a chance to win the world’s biggest Club

After the 1-1 draw in La Liga and the extra-time win for Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey final Jose Mourinho's team take on Barcelona for the third time in two weeks on Wednesday. The two recent meetings between the sides underlined how little there is to choose between them and it’s still largely the same tonight.

Madrid, so impressive when tonking Valencia 6-3 at the Mestalla – The scoreline flatters the hosts - can only come here in the best of spirits. Gonzalo Higuain scored a hat-trick and Kaka bagged a brace in that game and it only further underlines the strength of their squad

They’ve more than held their own in the first two games and while they are seen by many as a typical Mourinho side after they held Barcelona off (in relative comfort apart from the goal, it must be said) they created plenty of their own chances and the same was true of the last meeting between the two sides at the Bernabeu.

Mourinho has already proven that he can shape a side to outmanoeuvre Barcelona, when taking Inter to a semi – final triumph in this competition last year and many would claim that Real Madrid are a far superior side.

Not only that, but home advantage is a huge thing for Madrid. Real Madrid have a flawless home record in the Champions League this season. They have won all five games so far, scoring 15 times in the process and are yet to concede a goal at the Bernabeu. To add more credibility to that, Barcelona

Barcelona, with the title safely in the bag (eight points clear with head – to head advantage and only 5 games left to go) were able to ring the changes and still enjoy a 2-0 cruise against Osasuna last week and they could have easily won the Copa Del Rey & the League meetings – The decisions that went against them were marginal calls.

Even so, in Clasico terms, things have changed a lot since that 5-0 thrashing given out at the Camp Nou. Then the difference was there for the world to see but little more than the odd goal separates them and it’s likely that a referring call could also prove the difference here – Those with long memories will recall Barcelona having a goal disallowed in the final moments of the second leg.

For those wanting to back the Catalans (at a very fair price) it should be noted that only three sides have won Champions League games at this stage and Barcelona have only won two away games in the Champions League this year.

TEAM NEWS

Real Madrid: Apart from the suspension of Ricardo Carvalho, it’s all good news for Los Blancos. The return of Kaka and Gonzalo Higuain, who scored five of the six goals against Valencia on Saturday, is massive boost, although it’s expected that Mourinho will stick largely by the players who provided so much success in the Copa del Rey final. Raul Albiol, who gave Barcelona their goal in the League draw, may well reappear.

Barcelona: Defence has never been the strong point of Barcelona but there has to be concerns about the loss of Adriano, who is out for rest of the season, Gabriel Milito, who had to be substituted on Saturday after picking up a calf strain, Maxwell who played the ninety minutes in spite of suffering with a groin strain while Carles Puyol is still struggling with a hamstring injury. Iniesta coming back could make all the difference however.

VERDICT

This page is a big fan of both teams and while I’m of the view that Barcelona could easily have won both games so far, Real Madrid have looked quite at ease for large parts of the two ties. Chances could be at a premium if Madrid’s only response to Barcelona’s possession is to run the ball long from out back and that makes the already tempting draw a huge runner. There was never much between the two teams anyway and it could be all square after 90 minutes again. 

Advice 

2 pts Draw (11/5 Sportingbet) 

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