Friday, 22 April 2011

Valencia v Real Madrid - Preview


Just three days after overcoming Arch – rivals Barcelona to win the Copa Del Rey, Real Madrid can put the icing on the cake of a nearly perfect week by beating Valencia at the Mestalla.

After a hard fought draw in the second Clasico (of the season) at the Bernabeu, Los Galacticos finally ended their trophy drought by beating FC Barcelona 1-0 courtesy of Cristiano Ronaldo in a tense and thrilling battle which was dominated by the Catalans in possession for the large part of normal time.

For the large part of the final, Madrid were truly excellent in defence. They held their lines and defended their area brilliantly when pushed by Barcelona, and although they did get a lucky break (Pedro’s harshly ruled out offside goal) they were value for their win.

Jose’s men have been priced generously because of the fact that Valencia are third but there’s a fourteen points between them from the same number of games played, while their inconsistency is still very much there.

Admittedly Los Che have won their last three on the bounce – including a 5-0 crushing of Villarreal – bit they had lost their last three before that, including a collapse against Schalke in the Champions League.

This has been a nearly perfect week for Real Madrid
There’s also a startling difference in the goals scored for Real. Madrid have scored 73  goals to Valencia’s 54, but the real eye opener is the defensive quality of the two teams – Valencia have let in 35 goals, while Madrid have let in only 23 all season in La Liga.

Many will point to the fact that Valencia have home advantage but that hasn’t stopped Madrid in the past - have an excellent recent record when travelling to the Mestalla, having lost only one of their last six outings at the venue – Including their last three.

The fact that Madrid have a Champions League Semi – Final next week isn’t of any consequence here, as circumstances dictate that they should be able to field a strong side. Carvalho is suspended for the CL semifinal first leg so is an almost certain starter, and the same should go for Raul Albiol after missing the Copa final.

The likes of Ozil, Kaka and Benzema could also feature, along with Gonzalo Higuaín and Lassana Diarra, who have a point to prove to the manager here.

Advice

3 pts Real Madrid (11/5 Stan James) 

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