Tuesday, 12 April 2011

Newmarket Craven Meeting - Tattersalls Millions 3-Y-O Sprint


3.30 Newmarket
150,000 Tattersalls Millions 3-Y-O Sprint (Class 2)  (3YO only)
Winner £83,654

Pick: Neebras (win)

Aqulilfier: Has landed a hat – trick of handicaps on the AW this season, all of them at a mile; Beaten in slowly run race but has a lot to prove down in trip in this quality of field.

Cruiser: One and only win last year came on a soft surface, after close fourth in sales race last year; Disappointing behind Fury on last run at two, and has a lot of work to do if he’s to be winning this, for all he has a decent place shout on his best.

Neebreas: Made highly encouraging debut for David Lanigan at Newbury last May before landing odds comfortably and finishing second in July Stakes, hanging badly left at finish; Off since and would need to be straight here, but the outstanding horse in field.

Rafaaf:  Didn't show enough on debut in Wolverhampton maiden to think he would be winning in a race like this.

Shafgaan: Mixed fortunes in sales races at the backend of last season, appearing to lack for pace when well beaten behind Zebdee and I Love Me, and much the same story behind Fury.

Sir Reginald: Travelled smoothly when finding only smart Elzaam too strong on debut and went some way to confirming promise of that run, third in Gimcrack and not far behind I Love Me and Group 1 winner Wootton Bassett; Not seen since finishing well beaten behind Fury here but better ground here the key; Should go well fresh for bang in form.

Button Moon: Real crack sprinter as a 2 year old, unable to last over 5 furlongs so fast was he in the Super Sprint; Pushed Zebedee to a head in sales race but not gone on after that and no real chance here.

Instance: Very well backed to win Kempton maiden and landed money in game style; Would need to improve plenty on bare form but as such a prospect really should do so and trainer/jockey s combination is ominous.

Khor Sheed: Showed promise on taking debut and confirmed that when stepping up to take listed event on July course, scoring with something in hand; Ran well in defeat behind White Moonstone and when taking similar event over C&D; Ground too soft on final start and has a good chance of making winning debut here.

Madany: Took two of first four races as a juvenile (maiden and nursery over 6f at Haydock) and probably improved form of that when third in Ebor meeting Nursery; Has failed to make impact in both sales race starts, so not fancied here.

Masaya: Was out of depth in Queen Mary at Royal Ascot, and looked exposed last time when second in nursery off lightweight; Clearly that not the case, as her group/sales race placed efforts have shown, and did win similar race last year.

Shim Sham: Well beaten in Rockfel (raced very keenly) but would have to be taken seriously on her defeat of UAE Oaks/Derby winner Kawlah; Made all that day and may be happier at this trip, so one to consider.

VERDICT: NEEBRAS will need to be pretty fit to take this first time out, and it’s slightly disconcerting how he hung when making his challenge in the July Stakes, but he’s the clear standout horse in the field and should be going very close here. Khor Sheed, unsuited by soft ground on her last start as a 2 year old should be close, while Shim Sham should make a bold bid from the front. The same applies to Sir Reginald, who is seen as the biggest threat.

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