4.10 Newmarket
Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Class
1) (3YO only)
Winner £28,385
Pick: Sing Softly (win)
Maqaasid: Showed immense promise on debut and realized that
very quickly when winning Queen Mary Stakes in course record time, but failed
to build on that when failing to stay in both the Lowther and Chevley Park
Stakes; Both good runs and not without hope of shaping into a class contender
by 7f and penalty are big issues.
Barefooot Lady: Cam right away on debut despite needing
plenty of stoking and achieved a lot more when winning at St Ledger festival
next, doing job just as nicely; Not disgraced when third and second in
Group/Listed contests but 6f an unknown, as is her form; Stable bang in form.
Crying Lightening: Taken awfully long time to come to hand
this year in Dubai after promising juvenile campaign in which she finished
respectable second to Whit Moonstone; Has a lot of improvement to make up based
on her poor opening form but juvenile campaign form makes her a real fact and
will be fit here.
Elshabaakiya: One of race’s strongest form contenders going
down by only a length to Maqaasid on debut, then Crying Lightening next time
out; Only went down by a neck to Dubawi Gold on seasonal reappearance and could
be set for a big run today.
Laides Are Forever: Might just have been tapped for a toe a
little behind Maqaasid in the Queen Mary, taking advantage of being well
treated when landing big listed prize at Beverley; Shaped that day as if she’d
stay 7 furlongs and interesting runner here.
Lily Again: Won 6f Kempton maiden before good second in
Chantilly listed contest (had to give 10lbs to the winner) and bettered that
again when fifth behind Memory in Cherry Hinton; Continued in same vein with
listed win and fourth in Debutante but went backwards since and hard to fancy.
Qushchi: Not seen after breaking maiden in workmanlike
fashion, having shown customary promise on debut; A well bred horse (half-sister
to Dewhurst/St James´s Palace winner, Grand Lodge) who may be able to do better
this year but not particularly fancied for this test.
Show Rainbow: Took four tries to break duck last year,
having seemingly ‘spurted’ two chances before coming right away from field on
heavy in October; This steep rise in class expected to find her out.
Sing Softly: Seventh on only run as a juvenile but came with
withering late run to land maiden in impressive style and built on that when
winning listed event against males, both times at Curragh; Race fitness gives
her big advantage and seen as possible Guineas outsider so would have to be
fancied.
Strictly Pink: Won handicap latest under good ride and broke
maiden this year (fourth in-between) but unable to buy a win at a two year old
and well beaten on only run in group company; So hard to see her making an
impact here.
Sweet Cecily: Messed around on debut but underwent complete
transformation when making all in 6f maiden here; Held her own in better
company but now looks exposed and hard to fancy.
VERDICT: Maqaasid is likely to be many’s choice following
her Queen Mary win but she didn’t appear to stay 6 furlongs in the Lowther or
Cheveley Park, may not be at peak fitness here and will have to give away a
penalty in what’s already a tightly matched field. SING SOFTLY, so impressive on both her
wins in Ireland this year, could be the one most likely to take advantage ahead
of Ladies Are Forever and Elshabaakiya.
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