Saturday, 23 March 2013

Malaysian Grand Prix 2013 - Post Qualifying


A rain affected qualifying came oh so close to producing the perfect result for us when Fernando Alonso had seemingly timed his fast lap just right to take the lead but it must have been the shortest spell in the lead of a pole position shootout in F1 history as Vettel and then Massa blew away his lap times with the last two laps of the session. Nevertheless, with sporadic but very strong rainfall still a possibly the each/way part of our bet for Alonso to take pole already banked – and a starting position of third the perfect spot for him to start from – we go into the race in a pretty strong position already, not forgetting the even stronger position of Felipe Massa – backed at 8/11 for a top 6 finish before qualifying – in second.


Less promising is the three-place deduction that Kimi Raikkonen suffered at the end of qualifying, but he won from seventh in Australia and we’re still of the belief that he’s in not only one of the quickest cars, but also the car that’s best at managing tyre degradations, which will be crucial in the fierce heat and sweeping corners through the dry stretchers of the race. The 2/1 we have before the race may not be value but it’s no dead rubber. Paul Di Resta’s decision to keep with slicks towards the end of Q2 cost him dearly but judged on the pace he and Adrian Stuil have showed this weekend and last, a the double points finish still holds value – the odds haven’t lengthened since qualifying.


So while we’re well stocked in terms of the pre race portfolio, there still looks to be some value in terms of the post qualifying markets and Mark Webber (pictured) is value to cement a steady qualifying performance by being top of Bet 365’s Group B against Nico Rosberg, Adrian Sutil and Jenson Button. Webber is just one place ahead of Rosberg but he posted a time nearly three tenths of a second quicker and had looked the quicker of the two all weekend. Sutiil has looked quick in patches but the Red Bull is clearly the quicker of the two cards and Jenson Button’s Mclaren has some serious issues to iron out still despite an improved performance.


Advice

3 pts Mark Webber to win Bet365’s Group B (7/4 Bet365)


Already Advised 


1 pt win Kimi Raikkonen (9/4 general) (now 15/2 w/Bet Victor and a general 7/1 after qualifying)


3 pts Felipe Massa top 6 finish (8/11 general) (Now 1/2 general) 


1 pt Force India double points finish (2/1 general)


1 pt each/way Fernando Alonso to take pole (14/1 Hills, 12/1 general)

1 pt win Fernando Alonso (7/2 general)



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