A rain affected qualifying came oh so close to producing the
perfect result for us when Fernando Alonso had seemingly timed his fast lap
just right to take the lead but it must have been the shortest spell in the
lead of a pole position shootout in F1 history as Vettel and then Massa blew
away his lap times with the last two laps of the session. Nevertheless, with
sporadic but very strong rainfall still a possibly the each/way part of our bet
for Alonso to take pole already banked – and a starting position of third the
perfect spot for him to start from – we go into the race in a pretty strong
position already, not forgetting the even stronger position of Felipe Massa –
backed at 8/11 for a top 6 finish before qualifying – in second.
Less promising is the three-place deduction that Kimi
Raikkonen suffered at the end of qualifying, but he won from seventh in
Australia and we’re still of the belief that he’s in not only one of the
quickest cars, but also the car that’s best at managing tyre degradations, which
will be crucial in the fierce heat and sweeping corners through the dry
stretchers of the race. The 2/1 we have before the race may not be value but
it’s no dead rubber. Paul Di Resta’s decision to keep with slicks towards the
end of Q2 cost him dearly but judged on the pace he and Adrian Stuil have
showed this weekend and last, a the double points finish still holds value –
the odds haven’t lengthened since qualifying.
So while we’re well stocked in terms of the pre race
portfolio, there still looks to be some value in terms of the post qualifying
markets and Mark Webber (pictured) is value to cement a steady qualifying performance by
being top of Bet 365’s Group B against Nico Rosberg, Adrian Sutil and Jenson
Button. Webber is just one place ahead of Rosberg but he posted a time nearly
three tenths of a second quicker and had looked the quicker of the two all
weekend. Sutiil has looked quick in patches but the Red Bull is clearly the
quicker of the two cards and Jenson Button’s Mclaren has some serious issues to
iron out still despite an improved performance.
Advice
3 pts Mark Webber to win Bet365’s Group B (7/4 Bet365)
Already Advised
1 pt win Kimi Raikkonen (9/4 general) (now 15/2 w/Bet Victor and a general 7/1 after qualifying)
Already Advised
1 pt win Kimi Raikkonen (9/4 general) (now 15/2 w/Bet Victor and a general 7/1 after qualifying)
3 pts Felipe Massa top 6 finish (8/11 general) (Now 1/2 general)
1 pt Force India double points finish (2/1 general)
1 pt each/way Fernando Alonso to take pole (14/1 Hills, 12/1 general)
1 pt win Fernando Alonso (7/2 general)
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