Who would have thought it? After three rounds, France and
Ireland have won just one game between them and what should have been a
potential title decider – what ,many, me included had down as a title decider
beforehand – is now a wooden spoon clash for both sides.
Ireland were our tip for a triple crown and championship
tilt and all looked well after their stunning week one win over Wales, but two
abject performances since have lost them their chance at the crown. Their 12-6
loss to an England side that were tournament favourites before the action
started is defendable – although some of the handling that came with it was
not, even in dreadful rain – and their defeat at Scotland was pretty much unforgivable
given the absolute domination they had of gameplay, taking 74% of possession
and 71% of territory, producing 3 first half linebreaks and beating 16 defenders
in total – Scotland had to make three times more tackles at the end of the
game.
France’s horrendous team selections had cofounded them until
they took on an England side who had far more strength in depth on the bench,
but until then they’d played all of the rugby during the game until the surprising
removals of Trinh-Duc, Kayer, and world class prop Tomas Domingo. Put simply,
either side could win and it would be no surprise, and the match odds offer no
value; Tight winning margins are the way to go in that market.
However the one bet that does make real appeal is the total
points market. The line is general set at something near forty, which with
recent meetings – all but one of which has gone to France, for those interested
– which is far too big with the form of both sides and also the horrendous weather
at the Aviva. However, this is not a betting match and best left.
Advice
No bet (But strongly consider unders on points)
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