Thursday, 27 September 2012

Today's Racing - 27th September 2012

Lady Rotschild has had the season of her wildest dreams and things could get even better for her ahead of Nathaniel’s bid for Arc glory when her Gallipot attempts to get black type on the board in today’s Princess Royal Richard Hambro E.B.F. Stakes (3.10) at Newmarket on the first day of the Cambridgshire meeting. From the all-conquering John Gosden team – shooting hard for the trainers title following the eclipse of Ballydoyle’s triple crown hope in Camelot – Gallipot has improved hand over first at the backend of this season, finally coming good with a couple of clear cut AW handicap wins off and 82, and she then took that form to a new level when a staying on fourth in a solid renewal of the Park Hill Stakes at Doncaster last time out. She finished just over a length down on Wild Coco – extremely strong form given that one’s two wins from two this season – while she was around a length closer to her than Jehanndarc did at Glorious Goodwood, so a lumpy place bet with a small win wager seems to be the way to go.

The Queen’s pair have plenty going for them on form – both Set to Music and Sequence are clearly talented enough to take a hand – but Set To Music is having her first race back since 7 weeks off with a 3lbs penalty and this is much the hardest task that Sequence has faced despite her sharp recent improvement. Elias Diamond and Khone are very interesting at this trip especially and Bana Wu must be respected, for all that in Gallipot we have an in form horse who should be able to make the best of this trip.

Richard Hannon’s Havana Gold is a hot favourite to underling his burgeoning reputation with a fourth win in five starts in the Somerville Tattersalls’s Stakes and for good reason (3.40) but Lady Rothschild may hold the trump cards again with the promising and underrated stablemate Gleam, who was turned over at evens on his second career start at Salisbury last time in circumstances that didn’t suit the son of Ravens’s Pass. Another who should enjoy the good ground here (as his dam Harvest Queen was best on a quick surface), this should be run at a far stronger tempo than the three runner conditions stakes that saw him turned over last time and anyone who watched his maiden win would know that he’s a lot better than that defeat suggests and well worth a try in Group 3 company, so the 12/1 on offer looks far too big.

1 pt win, 4 pts place, Gallipot, 3.10 Newmarket (9/2 general, evs Ladbrokes)

1 pt win, 1 pt place Gleam, 3.40 Newmarket (12/1 general, 7/4 general) 

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