Friday, 21 September 2012

Premiership - 22nd September 2012


Swansea (2) v Everton (6/4)

A cracking start to the day’s games. Swansea’s red hot start to the season has been held up a bit by defensive errors that cost them a win at Sunderland and didn’t help their cause against Aston Villa, and there’s no doubting that the visit of Everton – who were desperately unlucky not to beat Newcastle on Monday – is their toughest task yet.

Advice: 2 pts Everton (6/4 general)

Chelsea (2/5) v Stoke (8)

Chelsea will be annoyed at having let a two goal lead slip against Juventus but they’re still top of the Premier League and could be set for a big title challenge if carrying on from their impressive start so far. Stoke have drawn all their games so far but are slightly lucky not to have lost at least two of them, have failed to score in each of their last four visits to Stamford Bridge in all competitions, and should be easily beaten today – Chelsea to win to nil appeals considering how they have three clean sheets in 4 Premier League games already.

Advice: 1 pt Chelsea to win to nil (11/8 Skybet)

Southampton (31/20) v Aston Villa (2)

Southampton have yet to register a point after 4 games but few would have thought they could get something out of the top three from last year, while Wigan themselves are a good side. It’s easy to forgive them those defeats and they were unlucky to lose to both Manchester Clubs (especially United), but they showed significant defensive lapses on all occasions and Aston Villa, buoyed by a decent win against Swansea, are likely to prove tough opposition having improved greatly over the past two weeks.

Advice:  1 pt Aston Villa (2/1 general)

West Brom (5/6) v Reading (7/2)

West Brome were roundly beaten by Fulham last weekend but will get few better opportunities to bounce back than against Reading, who were extremely poor against Tottenham despite improving in the second half and let Chelsea back into the game through costly defensive errors. At home they’ve beaten Liverpool (3-0) and Everton (2-0) and in between drew at Spurs, and a similar performance should see them win and win well.

Advice: 5 pts West Brom (5/6 general)

West Ham (5/4) v Sunderland (11/4)

A tough one to weigh up. West Ham’s physical style has seen them win their two games so far but Aston Villa and Fulham might not be the best travellers and therefore not the most reliable formguide. Sunderland have drawn all three games but those came against Arsenal (A), Swansea (A) and Liverpool, so they’ll clearly be tough to beat and at 4/6 to avoid defeat, look worth supporting.

Advice: 1.5 pts Sunderland/Draw (4/6 general)


Wigan (6/4) v Fulham (9/4)

Wigan have made a decent enough start to the new season but old defensive flaws came through when they blew a lead twice going down to Stoke here and they were poor in the second half against Manchester United. Fulham are hardly the best travellers o the PL circuit despite a tempting price of 9/4, and the goals that decide this could be few and far between.  The last 4 meetings at the DW have gone under 2.5 goals and that looks to be the wise choice once agiain.

Advice: 1 pt Under 2.5 goals (4/5 general)


Liverpool (15/8) v Manchester United (9/5)

The contrasting fortunes of these clubs couldn’t be more different – United are a close second following three wins on the bounce following an opening night loss to Everton, while Liverpool are languishing at the foot of the table with just two points – but the gap between the two is a lot close than many think and Brednan Rodgers’s side are the value here. Liverpool may be winless so far but they’ve played Manchester City, Arsenal, and Sunderland (away) in their first three games while West Brom proved their worth by beating Everton 2-0 soon after dispatching the Merseysiders with the help of two very dubious penalties. The Merseysiders should have beaten Manchester City and Sunderland, while United so far have been very unconvincing in all four of their games from a performance perspective, especially in midfield and defence with Fulham, Southampton and Everton especially finding far too much space through the midfield, an area which Liverpool expertise in – they’ve had more of the ball in 9 of their games this season. With key centre backs still injured, they look badly unbalanced from midfield and defence and if Liverpool can put enough pressure on a leaky centre back pairing – and they’ve made more than enough chances to win each game they’ve played in so far barring Arsenal - there’s every chance of them making it 5 Anfield wins from 6 games against United.

Advice: 2 pts Liverpool (15/8 general)

Newcastle (17/20) v Norwich (4)

Newcastle haven’t made the blistering start this year that they did to last season’s campaign but they’ve been playing very well and should be well capable of beating Norwich, who offered little going forward against West Ham at home. Newcastle showed resilience to snatch a late draw at Everton and continued in the same vein when hitting the post 3 times in the Europa League with a much weakened squad.

Advice: 3 pts Newcastle (17/20 Bet Victor)                                                           

Tottenham (4/9) v QPR (6)

Tottenham’s start to the season under AVB has been slow but things seem to have clicked with excellent performances against Reading and Lazio in the past week. Spurs were unlucky to have 3 goals chalked off against Lazio in midweek and are capable of scoring in both halves against QPR, who have let in goals on both sides of the half time whistle twice away from home.

Advice: 1 pt Spurs to score in both halves (6/5 Paddy Power) 

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