Sunday, 30 September 2012

European Focus - 30th September 2012


Football News: Edison CavaniJuventus threw down one of the strongest claims yet to posting a strong title defence when thrashing Roma 4-1 in Turin last year and Napoli can keep pace with them in posting a victory at Sampdoria. Walter Mazzari’s side just missed out on the Champions League last year but they won the Coppa Italia and suffered only from devoting so much effort to a strenuous Champions League group stage which saw them take on Bayern Munich and Manchester City.

With just the Europa League this time round there’s nothing to stop Mazzari’s side and a super impressive start has seen them take 13 points from their opening 5 matches, with the most impressive performance being their 3-0 thrashing of Lazio which saw Edinson Cavani (pictured) score a hat trick and miss a penalty as well in a comfortable success that has marked them down as serious title contenders. Sampdoria have impressed so far this season and will be no pushovers either, but their fixture list has been a little easier (Napoli have already played Fiorentina and Lazio, albeit at home) and this is the toughest test they’ve had so far by a long way.

Elsehwere on the coupon, Inter – marked down by this page as the closest challengers to Juventus this season – have been good to their word as they lie in fourth place, with the caveat that they’re on the road. A start of 5 straight away wins without conceding a goal is an incredibly impressive record, but their home form has been absolutely dire. Inter have played five home games so far in all competitions, resulting in defeats by Hajduk Split, Roma, and Siena, and draws against Rubin Kazan and FC Vaslui. Fiorentina, who were so impressive against Juventus on Tuesday and really should have beaten the defending Champions, are easily the toughest visitors to the San Siro so far (they lie unbeaten despite having played 3 of last season’s top 5) and yet can be backed at 12/5 for three points tonight, which is a no brainer at the prices.


Over in Spain, Atletico Madrid make appeal to continue their fantastic start to the season against Espanyol, who haven’t kept a clean sheet so far this season and are coming into this game with just a point from their opening 5 games, while Athletico have won their last 6. Espanyol are yet to keep a clean sheet this season and have conceded three goals on two occasions already while the Diego Simone’s men have scored at least three goals in five of their last six games, which makes the odds against offered on over 2.5 goals very appealing, so backing the two options makes a whole lot of appeal, with a bigger stake on over 2.5 to make up for the fact that  the hosts are unbeaten in their last four home matches against Atletico Madrid. Real Madrid’s tie has no interest for us, as Jose’s men can’t be trusted until they get on a real run of domestic form.

Advice – Serie A

2 pts Napoli (6/5 Ladbrokes)

1 pt Fiorentina (12/5 Ladbrokes)

Advice – La Liga

2 pt Over 2.5 goals in Espanyol v Atletico Madrid (4/5 general)

1 pt Atleico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals in the game (12/5 Bwin) 

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