Saturday, 15 September 2012

Premiership - 15th September 2012


Norwich (6/4) v West Ham (15/8)

West Ham looked as if they’d avoid relegation easily when thrashing Fulham 3-0 and much of that was down to the arrival of Andy Caroll, has has proven a smash hit at a club that plays his football. However he’s out injured and the Hammers looked poor on the road against Swansea, albeit when they gave away two goals on a plate and had chances of their own. With Norwich more confident after a 1-1 draw at Tottenham where they showed up well, this should be an event game. Five of the last six league meetings between the two have finished all square, but both teams to score makes more appeal on the basis that Norwich have been a leaky side in their top flight stay, while West Ham aren’t as solid on the road.

Advice: 1 pt Both teams to score (11/2 Hills)

Aston Villa (11/8) v Swansea (9/4)

Aston Villa host Swansea this Saturday looking to end a run of 13 Premier League games without a win while Swansea are still unbeaten and should have taken all 3 points from their game with Sunderland – the two goals were appalling errors. Villa were much improved against Newcastle so there’s not as much confidence in the Swansea, but 9/4 looks to be worth chancing for the visitors, who are still high on confidence and now have Pablo Herandez in their ranks.

Advice: 1 pt Swansea (9/4 general)

Fulham (6/5) v West Brom (3)

It’s easy to understand why Fulham are 6/5 for this game when you see that they have a record record of five wins and one draw from six renewals of this fixture and an exceptional home record, but West Brom’s only defeats in their last 11 games have come against Man City and Arsenal and they have beaten Everton and Liverpool this season already. West Brom have kept only two clean sheets in their last 39 Premier League away games, so maybe backing both teams to score might be the solution.

Advice: 1 pt Both teams to score (3/4 general)

Manchester United (3/10) v Wigan (12)

Manchester United have been unconvincing so far this season but have two wins in three games, which is typical of Ferguson’s side. They have scored 3 goals in each of those wins, and that looks to be the value again today. Wigan are no mugs but they have a shocking record at Old Trafford - these sides have met seven times at Old Trafford, and United hold an aggregate lead of 24-1 – and Eobin Van Persie and Shinjji Kagawa are also confirmed fit.

Advice: 2 pts Manchester United to score 3 or more goals (4/5 general)

QPR (15/4) v Chelsea (5/6)

QPR have gained some top players during their summer influx – the likes of Goalkeeper Julio Cesar and Estaban Granero should be able to keep their heads well above water this year – but they may still be gelling and this Chelsea side has realistic title ambitions if they can play as they have done in the first three games. The 4-1 defeat to Atletico Madrid (mainly at the hands of Falcao) is best ignored and they have more than enough to beat QPR.

Advice: 3 pts Chelsea (5/6 general)

Stoke (5) v Manchester City (8/11)

Manchester City have made a solid start to this season – despite looking more leaky at the back than usual compared to last year – but they may have to settle with another draw on the road against Stoke, who have drawn every game they’ve played this season so far and held Manchester City to a 1-1 draw on three out of the last 4 occasions they’ve met. The draw has to be value again at 11/4 along with the 1-1 correct score.

Advice: 1 pt draw (11/4 general), 1 pt 1-1 Draw (13/2 general)

Sunderland (11/4) v Liverpool (6/5)

This season is turning out just like the last for Liverpool – all the possession and all the chances with a high quality midfield but no end product – and they may slip up again at Sunderland, who were solid enough against Arsenal to think that they can give Liverpool problems. Sunderland are 4/5 with Coral to avoid defeat and that may be the way to go, as for all that one day Liverpool will get it right and smash someone silly, they’ve lost 11 out of their last 17 games.

Advice: 2 pts Sunderland-Draw (4/5 Coral) 

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