An average day yesterday, saved by the easy winner of the maiden. Hope all who read with Sporting Bet actually got on that and swerved Intiqaal and today I'm more than hopeful one of the two will score so here goes.
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This page has already said that is a big fan of Johnny
Murtagh & he may well be the man to get Bible Black home in the opening maiden
on a strong Fairyhouse card (6.00). In a maiden where none of the newcomers
look overly menacing, he’s got the strongest form claims. He veered right before meeting all sorts of
trouble in running when fifth on debut and tried to correct that when attempting
to make all last time, before being taken on for the lead and passed by a
useful filly who was a good second next time (finished over a length clear of
subsequent Group 3 and Listed third Naseem Sea). If she handles turf and 6 furlongs,
she should go close here.
The Brownstown Stakes (7.30) looks like one of the best
renewals for a good while and it’s a quality race for the money, with about 5
horses capable of winning. Emulous is the favourite based on the strength of
her form through Lolly For Dolly but that may be an overreaction given that the
disappointments of some in the Windsor Forest and the fact that there was cut
in the ground after rain, which Lolly loves (she has no wins with firm in the description)
and a penalty here against some classy 3yo fillies will make things tricky.
The choice of 3yos is tempting but the drop back in trip
(assuming there’s not too much rain, which would greatly suit one other named
choice) will be a great help to Sharnberry (pictured), who made a bold bid in the French 1,000 Guineas but was passed late on, having failed to stay a mile properly.
The form has worked out well and she won’t have to cope with the top fillies
from that race, and the fact that she’s coming here speaks a lot for her
chances.
If the rain arrives, you could do much worse than switch on
History Note, who’s very unexposed having had only three runs in her career. A
taking winner on debut & her only run at two, she didn’t get a good trip
when third in the 1,000 Guineas trial and bettered that when sixth in the
actual event on her last run, staying on late after getting outpaced. That does
not bode well for her chances down in trip, but she should still do well and
any rain is a plus.
Rose Bonheur is an improving filly who should go well, albeit
one who shapes as if she’s best with a an easy lead, which she may not get
here, and Claimoh Solais has great claims at her best but has had two hard
races of late. Agony & Ecstasy was a
vastly improved horse on her seasonal debut when an AW Listed race winner but
this is a serious step up in class and while she’s a big price, it’s hard to
recommend her.
Advice
6.00 Fairyhouse – 3 pts win Bible Black
7.30 Fairyhouse – 1 pt win Sharnberry (7/2 Paddy Power)
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