Royal Ascot (Day 1, Race 6)
Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (2yo) Winner
£28,385
Picks: Federick Engles (win) & Bayleyf (each/way)
Arnold Lane: Made a promising winning debut with bit in hand
in fair 5f Leicester maiden earlier this month (revered well from slow start,
well on top despite idling late on); Fourth in decent contest last time and
needs more here.
Ballesteros: Promising start when beaten 4 lengths by useful
prospect in Haydock maiden last month but didn’t make the expected improvement
for that when third again in Haydock maiden last time out and while drop in
trip could work, others preferred.
Bayleyf: Was best of the rest behind Gatepost (Coventry
fancy for many) at Folkestone first time out, showing inexperience in abundance
(steadied at start, had to be switched wide, hung) & decent effort when
behind two Coventry runners last time out here; Yard has excellent record in
this (100/1 winner, Flashmans Papers, 50/1 newcomer Kingsgate Native finished
second the previous (his Stone Of Folca also looked the most likely winner
until final half-furlong last season); Outsider’s chance.
Bear Behind: Managed to make US challenger and major
contender Gentlemans Code work on debut, and came forward from that when
landing maiden with ease (had well regarded/backed type behind); Can do well
again here.
Caledonian Spring: Made a promising start when fourth on
debut over C&D behind two nice sorts, just a ½ length behind Bayleyf on his
debut; Bumped into two useful horses in Eureka and a subsequent winner last
time out but does need to find a large amount of improvement to figure here.
Caspar Nestcher: Well backed on debut and did job in fine
style when running out a ready winner on debut at Beverley, overcoming a poor
run to win going away; Not so good when beaten in Pontefract conditions stakes,
unable to give 4lbs, ground and a beating to a previous winner; Had chance to
make amends in Woodcote Stakes but never at ease with the track and got too far
behind to make impact; Can do better here but raised in class again.
Crowning Star: Far better than bare form when good third on
debut in Brocklesby, but no improvement from first to second start when more
than well beaten in ordinary race last time and ignored.
Es Que Love: Showed major promise on debut, when looking set
to win before losing race through veering; Made amends when easy winner of maiden next
time out but trashed by Federick Engles latest and no form reversal likely.
Federick Engles: Bumped into a good one first time out and
then ran into a potential top – notcher in Shumoos at Haydock, the best of the
rest by 5 lengths; Got off the mark when he absolutely trashed Es Que Love last
time out and has big claims here.
Gentleman’s Code: Suffered odds – on reverse at Belmont
(muddy track) and made amends when opening account in easy style, beating an
easy subsequent winner with fair amount in hand; Trainer has had race in mind
for some time and can go close here.
Hamza: Was a ready winner of a 5f Musselburgh maiden on
debut from subsequent winner & bettered that form significantly when clear
second to Royal Ascot prospect Gatepost, with four other winners behind; Beaten
by good pair at Beverley latest and while his form is solid, others might have
more in hand.
I’m Still The Man: Saw off odds-on shot to take Sandown
maiden auction last month (nothing else in the race) & and while that success
impressive visually, this far harder.
Lupo D’Oro: Promise when prominent for a long way before
fading late when fifth in a 6f Haydock maiden on debut & well behind Mitie
Mouse with benefit of previous experience last time out.
Magic City: Made
favourite for Coventry Stakes after demolition of strong field at Newbury (5 subsequent
winners emerged from that contest) but not run to that form since, sore shins
blamed when unsuccessfully giving weight to subsequent Listed winner Miss Work
Of Art, and a lot to do when beaten again by Bannock at Windsor; Unable to find
any more than one pace when third in National Stakes and hard to fancy after
that.
Mitite Mouse: Got better of odds on shot (who had previously
made a very promising debut) at Kempton on AW and respected on that; Holds L’upo
D’oro on that form but little promise apart from that.
Monnoyer: Clear cut winner of maiden on AW debut, and not
disgraced when fourth behind 3 previous winners at York in decent event; Probably
too keen for own good when up against a good horse Wise Venture at Yarmouth
latest; Dettori is a notable booking and not ruled out in first time visor.
Rent Free: Made standard improvement expected for debut when
taking ordinary Ayr maiden (good to soft) but that weak, weak race and cannot
be expected to make same progression from second to third start.
Springinmystep: Quite likely to improve a good deal for his
debut, when second behind Worthington at Carlisle (green early); That said, decisively
beaten at the line and didn’t have to suffer tough passage that the winner did,
so hard to envisage a form reversal.
Stonefield Flyer: Has bumped into two decent horses on his first
two starts, one of whom reopposes (Hamza) and the other has won twice since; Blitzing
rivals in ordinary Newcastle auction maiden last month; That form has to be
improved on but looks likely to come forward again.
The Penny Horse: Managed to overcome his tendency to hang
late when making a nice debut at Nottingham; Withdrawn after refusing to enter
stall here later that month and on big occasion such as this, that must be a
concern.
Monnoyer: Had to be driven just to keep up with Monnoyer on
his debut at Windsor (very green) & left that form well behind when winning
maiden at Chepstow last month; Hughes deserts but Moore no less of a
replacement and considered.
Copper Falls: Weakened out of things late on debut behind
useful horse (subsequent winner) but no improvement when well held second on next
start (pulled hard and awkward); Well beaten into third again last time &
form way below what is required to feature here.
Huma Bird: Hung too badly on debut to feature, different
proposition when making all to take ordinary 6f Lingfield maiden last time; Yard
has strength in depth with this division and notable that she is sent here.
Lady Nickandy: This is way harder than hard-fought win in
weak Yarmouth maiden auction last week and best watched.
Lexington Spirit: Cosy winner of 5f Thirsk maiden on debut
and made it two from two when edging out another previous winner in
three-runner novice event at Newcastle last time; Going to get the gallop he
wants but second string of Fahey’s yard.
Owley: 3,000 gns buy; The 1995 and 1996 winners were also
debutants but that was when race was conditions stakes and this far harder, so
can only be watched.
Worthington: Won Carlisle maiden (good to soft) despite decisively
despite meeting some mid-race trouble and has to be respected for stable which
won this last year; Has a decent chance.
VERDICT: A muddling affair and the draw complicates things
once again, so it’s best ignored altogether. Many make some sort of appeal but
the standout is FREDERICK ENGLES, who sets a high standard on his 6 lengths
romp at Musselburgh last time out and has the assistance of Johnny Murtagh in
the saddle. Gentlemens Code should beat Bear Behind again and go close, while Worthington
merits respect. That said, those looking for a big priced success could do
worse than side with Bayleyf, whose form reads well for a yard that has a good
record in this.
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