After a very solid start to the summer last week, the
weekend did not go to plan at least, and yesterday was bloody Sunday from a
punting sense of view. We should have had a winner of the Royaumont but for
Soumillion going to sleep on Adventure Seeker and letting the favourite get a
massive run on him, while Hamish McGongall won the pace battle for Inxile but
was just a sitting duck for Invincible Ash. While the defeat was gut-wrenching,
fair play to Gary Carroll for getting him there and it was a deserved win after
Tough As Nails ran into one too good in the shape of Lillbourne Lad.
Havign gone with Seville to win the Irish Derby (no
each/way’s) and also to win a special Coolmore Derby (at 9/4) I felt that the
day would be saved but sadly he got overhauled by Treasure Beach inside the
last furlong, under a classic Colm O’Donoghue ride. Many will be quick to say
that this isn’t the greatest of Derbies but it should be remembered for 3 thoroughly
likeable colts, a well-deserved day in the sun for a Ballydoyle stalwart and certainly
not for the “Eclipse” of Carlton House, who has been ousted as not good enough
in top company. Many say a drop down in trip is the answer but there is so much
talent packed there that winning a Group 1 would be near impossible and his
Dante success means he’ll be anchored with a penalty in Group 2 company.
As for the winner, it’s going to be fascinating to see if
they decide to shoot for the older horses with any one of the front 3, as
there’s no way of judging the true worth of Pour Moi until one of the placed
horses from Epsom takes on decent older horses – Given the strength in depth of
the top division, it would have to be presumed that the 3yos have a struggle on
their hands this season.
As for Seville, a middle distance pot sometime this year
beckons, (where is more difficult to predict) and Memphis Tennessee looks like
a bona – fide Ledger horse although he wouldn’t make anywhere near as much
appeal as Nathaniel if he went, or For Fiorente should he go.
Moving onto some far less exciting proceedings (in the eyes
of some) at Brighton, and going to the well bred Intiqaal in the 3.00. He’s left
punters with a few burnt fingers recently and that’s an off-putting point but
he’s has some valid excuses and it’s not like this is the fiercest handicap he’ll
ever take part in – Of all his competitors only one has won last time out – and
he can go well here, having proven too slow for 6f earlier on in the season,
before then pulling too hard without a good run at Hayodck last time where the
leader got an easy lead. It’s hoped that the penny drops here.
I was originally having a dilemma about whom to back for the
3.30 given that Polperro’s mark of 82
meant he would take some beating (with the table 4-9 with 3yos at the course)
but his withrrawl leaves Misty Rules as a rather easy betting proposition,
albeit one that should go very close. She got a bit edgy in the preliminaries latest
but that can be forgiven based on her very promising debut (seasonal) when she
was an excellent third at Newbury and a drop down in class should do the trick.
Advice
3.00 Brighton - 1 pt win Intiqaal (9/2 Skybet)
3.30 Brighton – 1 pt win Misty Isles (11/8 Paddy Power)
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