Fred Archer Stakes 2011

2.45 Newmarket

Try timeform.betfair.com On Your Smartphone Fred Archer Stakes (Listed) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)

Winner £17,031

Pick: Cavalryman (win)

Afsare: Unlucky not to win on AW debut last season, but made up for that by going unbeaten for the rest of the year, including a hard fought win at Royal Ascot when he beat subsequent Group 2 winner Wigmore Hall (on two occasions); Showed nothing on seasonal comeback & again disappointing latest, so this last chance saloon although ground has come for him.

Allied Powers: Winner of 2 Group events last year (Grand Prix & Prix H’edouville) before creditable, although not particularly notable, Group 1 runs & steady improvement on all 3 starts this season to finish creditable Group 3 third latest; Should run a big race and has to be rated here.

Alwaary: Progressive in 2009, winning a listed race at Goodwood and coming a staying-on fourth in King George at Ascot but been hard to race since and can be expected to need this run greatly.

Anmar: Improved markedly to land valuable prize in Dubai Carnival last year but well below form on his two starts since & this a tricky task after 15 months off for a new stable.

Cavalryman: Enjoyed a progressive 2009, winning three times (including the Prix Niel and Grand Prix De Paris) before coming third Arc; Not reached that form since for Goldolphin but has run to a level of form that entitles him to have a big say.

Jukebox Jury: Made giant strides in 2009 when winning the Grand Prix De Deauville and the Preis Von Europa, before finishing a very close second in the Canadian International; Never quite reached that level last year and while he has form top win this, likely to come on for the run hugely.

Sabotage: Actually improved for switch to Godolphin in Dubai, improving when upped to 2m but has only mixed form since, his two runs in Dubai looking like poor races for the level; This trip a bit short for the level.

Verdant: Won three out of 6 last year in handicap company, unlucky on two other occasions before winning off top - weight at Goodwood; Looked the type to make up into a Group performer this season but has shown little on his two starts this year, looking awkward under pressure latest; Has a lot to prove now despite potential.

VERDICT: Trappy to say the least with many having a lot to prove or coming off a break. Jukebox Jury is the best of them but doesn’t seem to go well off a break so CAVALRYMAN, who still holds some ability, goes at the trip & should improve for his first outing.  Verdant & Asfare still have the potential to improve while Allied Powers might find one too good.