Friday 24 June 2011

Grangecon Stud Stakes 2011


3.00 Curragh
Grangecon Stud Stakes (Registered As The Balanchine Stakes) (Fillies' Group 3) (Class 1)  (2YO only)
Winner €34,125

Pick: Experience (win)

Aaraas: Raw on debut and never really quite going the pace to get involved in really good maiden; Just got up in average event latest and hinted there that a step up in trip would be in order so others preferred.

Dam Beautiful: Showed a nice turn of foot to score at Warwick on her debut and although that form needs improving on, her stable has a strong and deep squad of juveniles so fact that she comes here serves as a big sign; Can go well.

Experience: Showed lots of potential on debut when leaving herself with too much ground to make up behind Somasch (would have won in another stride) and didn’t need to improve on that when bloodless winner last time out, again taking time to get organized; One of main form contenders and should go close.

Muckle Bahoochie: Was behind three of these on debut but clearly needed it and had sore shins afterwards; Much more forward on second start, when readily beating Danziger by 2l but unable to make mark in Listed company.

Naseem Sea: Has run well on all starts and bumped into smart horses who should turn out to be decent the last twice, form which gives him a big shout;

Somasch: Only just got there by a head and would have been passed by runner up afterwards but that doesn’t tell the whole story, having been put out wide thanks to draw and having to fight hard to lead; Taken off her feet in Queen Mary Stakes but step up in trip should help and rates a real contender here.

VERDICT: Coming from a team that has had so much success in England, Dam Beautiful is obviously well rated here but this could lie between Somasch and EXPERIENCE with the latter just getting a tight vote. 

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