Royal Ascot (Day 4, Race 5)
Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105)
Winner £31,155
Pick: Blissful Moment (each/way)
Prompter: Showed promise for this type of test on more than
one occasion last season but just not delivered, finishing last behind Resurge
last time; Opposable and this ground not likely to suit.
Jutland: Resumed improvement when running out a commanding
winner at Chester and was unplaced both times until wining there again last
time (fo0rm boosted by runner up); Has looked a non-stayer every time he’s run
over this trip though, and easy ground against him.
Modun: Overcome every obstacle presented to him on debut
when slow away and green (also set plenty to do) on Folkestone debut and
unlucky to be caught in the last strides in handicap debut at Kempton; Easy
winner of 10f Newbury handicap on reappearance and no surprise he’s up 15lbs
but this a whole different proposition and treated with caution.
Chock A Block: Some smart efforts in defeat last term,
including when fourth in the Chester Handicap, but disappointing reappearance and
soft ground means he’s swerved here.
Fox Hunt: Finally had things fall his way (first time visor)
when running out a ready winner at Epsom on his last start (always holding on)
and while he’s only gone up 3lbs for that, suspicion is this is a better race;
Can go well for trainer who’s runners are more than holding their own this week
but does look a little exposed.
Halicarnassus: Has a cracking record in Dubai and improved
on that with two seconds and a fourth this year, all over 1m3f; Not as good
here though and no soft ground wins.
Sharaayeen: Progressive last season, romping away with a 10
furlong Newbury handicap but also running a good second on soft ground;
Travelled like the winner all the way until he was headed by superior horse and
listed winner since in Times Up; All the rage but it has been a decade now
since Barry Hills has last supplied a top-six finisher in this.
Albqaa: Left Richard Fahey (for whom he ran so well in
Zetland Gold Cup) after being beaten in a claimer on reappearance and well
beaten in Hunt Cup on Wednesday so hard to fancy at all.
Rock A Doodle Doo: Followed close Epsom second with
impressive last to first surge here last time, getting there with perfectly timed
challenge; The third has franked the form since and there should be more to
come but reopposing second is weighted to reverse form and soft ground a
complete unknown.
Awsaal: Looked like he has this type of race in him when winning
at Salisbury and Haydock but subsequent injury has kept off track for a year;
Should be better for first run back and not witout chance at best but wide draw
a put off.
Blissful Moment: Quickly off the mark at three, seemed suited
by pressing the leader when breaking maiden and improved to take handicap on
last tart at Beverley; Had all but Rock A Doodle Doo beaten late on return here
but caught late on (weighted to reverse form with winner, who was race fit); Can
go well here if coping with ground.
Very Good Day: Best effort when third to Derby third
Rewilding in Cocked Hat Stakes; Made hard work of landing odds in Newbury
maiden next time and well behind in Group races on both starts since, but
exposed based on last effort.
Taqleed: Lightly-raced, lightly weighted, progressive sort
with aspirations of being a Group-class performer; Progressive all last season
and entitled to improve for his reappearance but seemed unsuited by soft ground
in Cambridgeshire, so hard to trust here.
Averroes: Solid in handicaps last year when making frame
three times in valuable events (second on heavy so goes up not – so short
shortlist); Second in York contest last time despite pulling makes him look tempting
although has found trouble in big handicaps every single time he’s run in them.
Ile Dr Re: Absolutely no problem on surface and winner of 10
furlong event last June; From since then uninspiring though, and while he has relatively
fair mark, hasn’t proven that he’s got talent for race like this.
Life And Soul: Beat Promoter over this C&D last September
and has been bang there in all of the major middle distance handicaps he
contested since and running to the pound this season, so every chance that he
can go well; Never run on testing ground.
Nice Style: Possible excuses for last two runs in that he
was never going in Lingfield Derby (keen) and too slowly away in York handicap;
But has been well beaten on his only run over trip, so passed over.
Heddwyn: Has bumped into progressive horses on two of last
three occasions in London Stripe and Green Destiny and decent effort on his reappearance;
Could go very well and ground no problem but stamina the worry.
Coin Of The Realm: More than enough talent to win this, and
still fairly weighted in relation to his romp in the Great Metropolitan
Handicap in 2010; Could never get into contention there last time but nothing
from the back could; Beaten on all 4 Soft/Heavy ground runs though and that
takes away appeal.
VERDICT: Modun is the talking horse in this race and he
could easily be Group class but this ground is new to him and a 15lbs rise
makes life very hard here. Given that Sir Michael Stoute has four winners and
two seconds from his last 12 runners a chance is taken that BLISSFUL MOMENT
will go on the ground. Many make appeal and only fall down on one count (that
being stamina, rainer records and soft ground) and the best of those in order
are Sharayeen, Rock A Doodle Doo, Life & Soul & Heddwyn.
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