Saturday, 29 March 2014

Dubai Duty Free 2014

4.39 Meydan 
Dubai Duty Free Sponsored By Dubai Duty Free (Group 1) (Turf) (Class 1)  (3YO plus) 
Winner 10,477,013 AED 
Advice: 2 pts win Just a Way (7/2 general) 

Owner details
Mshawish: Fourth at big prices in Prix Du Jockey Club and then St James’ Palace; Not quite shown the same form in two French starts since but hinting at a big effort in the UAE, where he might have beaten Aneribio (benefit of a run behind him) with a clear run and then bolting up in 1m group 2 latest; Whole different calibre of opposition here but can’t be underestimated at all.

Owner detailsJust A Way: One of Asia’s newest racing superstars, not having the pace to catch Eishin Flash before smashing subsequent Japan Cup winner Gentildonna in the Tenno Sho last year; Folloowed that up with easy trial win there when technically posting a career best and the one to be in no uncertain terms; Should go well.

Owner detailsAnerobio: Making hay over 7f earlier this year, beating Mashawish (albeit with fitness on his side and under the belt) before limp show in handicap; Redeemed himself with third behind far more progressive stablemate in Jebel Hatta when he faded from the lead; Likely to do similar here.

Owner detailsThe Fugue: Many near misses but now well established as a global performer, and bounced back from poor beginning to season to win Yorkshire Oaks in style and then land Irish Champion Stakes in style; Agonisingly close to victory in Breeders’ Cup Turf when possibly kicking for home a touch too early and fine ride saw her mown down in shadow of post, before blocked runs cost her in Hong Kong vase; Clearly the class to go here but dropping back to 9 furlongs may not be what she wants.

Owner detailsEducate: Decent run in one of the key World Cup trials latest but still just a handicapper before then and others preferred.

Owner detailsTokei Halo: Crack front runner who lives off getting the lead but when he does is an extremely formable opponent as rivals in the Sapporko Kinnel found out when he obliterated them on way to hat trick; Pressure for the lead saw him crumble in Tenno Sho but gave Akeed Mofeed an strong race at Sha Tin before exertions of trying to make up for slow early start; Clear that if he can get comfortable on the lead, he will take some passing, albeit that’s a big ‘if’; Interesting.

Owner detailsTrade Storm: UAE regular now with plenty to recommend him as a high class group horse, most notably when fourth from his wide draw last year in race that didn’t go to plan for him; Needs things to drop his way still thought and doubtful if he’s at the same level as some of these here.

Owner detailsTasaday: One of many French recruits for Godolphin, high class for Andre Fabre, a triple group race winner and short head group 1 second; Didn’t look full of speed when behind Educate on UAE debut and then got there in Listed contest over one furlong further; Not sure she’s good enough.  

Owner detailsBlazing Speed: Ex-Brit who had no excuses when fourth in the Hong Kong Cup, readily outpaced by, amongst others, Tokei Halo; Has to quicken to win today and hard to see that being case; Others preferred.


Owner detailsDank: The more she’d raced the better she’s gotten and in campaign with only one defeat, won two American Grade 1’s, flat out when landing Breeders’ Cup Filyl and Mare Turf from smart runner up Romantica; Can keep getting better but may want 10 furlongs more than this and a far tougher race; More needed.

Owner detailsVercingetorix: Winner of Daily News 2000 in South Africa and 2-2 here to make it 6-60 in total when winning Jebel Hatta latest; Don’t know how good he is but this is going to take some serious winning.

Owner detailsLogotype: Dual Grade 1 winner in Japan, with 2,000 Guineas on resume, and shaped decently given season reappearance behind Just A Way on return; Can go well if building on that.

Owner detailsHunter’s Light: Much more needed despite having won Group 1’s on turf and Tapeta, but come up short when faced with proper top notchers


VERDICT: JUST A WAY’s stunning demolition of Gentildonna in the Tenno Sho is as good as any horse running here and it will take a smashing effort to beat her. The Fugue and Dank may find this trip too short and Vercingetroix, along with Tokei Halo, look to be interesting options. 

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