Sunday, 2 March 2014

Serie A - AC Milan v Juventus

Clarence Seedorf’s management at AC Milan seems to have bought about a rejuvenation in fortunes for their disastrous season but the visit of Juventus could be a an unfortunately times one and the gap between the two looks as wide as it’s ever been.


This fixture is normally a title decider but will play no part in the destination of the Sucdetto with Juventus’s closest title chasers Roma, already seven points in arrears, having dropped points at home to Inter Milan yesterday evening, and AC Milan languishing in ninth and more than 30 points off the pace, tonight’s result isn’t going to have much of an effect upon the destination of what looks like a decided Scudetto before tonight.


Milan salvaged Champions League football following a run of form that saw them lose only once and draw only three times after the turn of the year into 2013 but such a recovery doesn’t look possible with Napoli, Roma, Inter and Fiorentina all already our of reach thanks to a wretched season which has had an extremely messy transfer from Massimo Allegri and plenty of injuries in crucial position.


Some excellent transfer business conducted over the January window has helped with Valencia’s Adil Rami giving much needed quality to a misfiring back four and the arrival of Kezkuke Honda adding class to the midfield and Adel Tarrabt taking a huge upgrade in his stride with some impressive performance and even more impressive commitment since joining from QPR – as seen from improved results and performances, especially when they were notable impressive in a 2-0 win at Sampdoria last week following on from an unlucky 1-0 home defeat to Atletico Madrid in which they were very unlucky not to take a lead back to Spain.


Juventus should be in the last 16 of the Champions League but slack finishing and defending cost them points against Galatasaray and Copenhagen but at home they’ve been even more dominant now than over the last two years and they look set for their biggest winning margin and their third straight Scudetto. Conte’s men have bucked the trend of their poor European starts over the past three seasons but have produced their best form as the season has worn on and top the home and away tables, having not lost in the league since their 4-2 defeat at Fiorentina – all the way back in Ocotober. The absence of Autro Vidal is a loss but with Carlos Tevez and Fernando Llorente combining to great effect they have a sharpness in attack that has been missing for the last two seasons. Recent draws at Lazio and Verona do put a downer on their chances but 11/10 about the best side in Italy isn’t a chance to pass up and they’re worth a small bet at least.


Advice:



1 pt Juventus (11/10 general)

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