Saturday 7 July 2012

Lancashire Oaks 2012


2.55 Haydock
bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Fillies' Group 2) (Class 1)  (3YO plus)
Winner £45,368

Advice: 2 pt win Set To Music (7/2 general), 1 pt win Testosterone (6/1 Stan James)


Owner detailsAquamarine: Good chance on her Group 3 win in testing ground at Chantilly and she is one who should be fine on the ground, as she’s got three wins on a testing surface; Disappointing behind Solemia at Saint Cloud latest and that would be worry but good chance anyway.

Owner detailsMohedian Lady:  Fourth in Group 3 here over C&D on last start, and improvement on poor form shown towards backend of last season; On on soft as 2yo but main worry that she’s held by Shimmering Surf and Set To Music latest and don’t  see that form being reversed;

Owner detailsMyplacelater: Went down narrowly in Chester Group 3 in May but failedto build on that when wel below form and last of six behind Set To Music at Warwick latest and best of 2011 form has her behind some of the best of these.

Owner detailsSet To Music: Improved a lot last year in short pace of time, taking the Galtres Stakes in the style of a good horse before second in Park Hill at Doncaster (non-stayer late on);Progressive once again this season, needing opening run badly in top quality contest before then being unlucky when getting poor run and being given too much to do when second here over C&D early last month; Easy win at Listed level last time and big chance.

Owner detailsShimmering Surf: Improved markedly for new yard this season when pushing very smart Vita Nova (bordering on Group 1 class) all the way in Listed race at Goodwood on return and then beating Set To Music here in Group 3; Form chance once again here and ground no problem so respected here.

Owner detailsTestosterone: New inmate at Ed Dunlop Stable having been second in the Vermellie after winning two Group races at 1m4f last season, both from the front, one on very deep ground; Moved yards after being well beaten in Arc and all but last n return in Hardwicke, but clearly needed that, this a drop in class(relatively), and sure to go well with booking of Grhama Lee as good as one could get with Murtagh absent.

Owner detailsGood Morning Star: 50/1 winner of Chester Oaks on this ground after several beaten efforts in 70’s in handicap company; Not upto that in other efforts so very hard to like her properly today.

Owner detailsGreat Heavens: Comfortable winner of heavy Yarmouth maiden on reappearance when well backed and same story (this time on better ground) when winning Listed race at Newbury with fair bit of ease latest; This demands more but excellent family (Sister to yard´s King George winner Nathaniel) is likely to see her improve once again

Owner detailsSalford Art: Steady improvement until dramatic rise in performance saw her come late and hard iin Ribblesdale for fourth; Even then still well behind the leaders and once again and needs more here while the last winner from the Ribbledale was in 1992.

VERDICT:  A classy renewal with all of the market leaders able to go on the ground. SET TO MUSIC had looked unlucky not to win the Pinnacle Stakes when failing to claw back Shimmering Surf, but she gained quick compensation in good style at Warwick and looks to have an excellent chance again, with testing ground not a problem to her, for all that she’s not encountered ground this heavy yet. TESTOSTERONE was second in the Vermellie on a heavy surface – following two excellent wins in well contested Group races – last year and with valid excuses for his two defeats since, she’s got to be given an excellent chance here. Great Heavens looks like a really progressive type and is taking the best route for 3yos to this race (and one that in form trainer John Gosden has taken before) so is feared, although this is a step up for her. 

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