Wednesday, 11 July 2012

Tour De France - Stage 10 [Macon - Bellegarde-sur-Valserine]


The Tour De France is by no means an expert area of mine but when perusing through the information for Stage 5 I found something very interesting on Wikipedia. According to the site, more than half of the Tour De France Stage tomorrow – the 1.94KM route which goes through Macon – to Bellegarde-sur-Valserine - was made up of Stage 5 of this year's Criterium Du Dauphine, where on the descent of the Grand Colombier, Cadel Evans and his BMC Racing colleagues tried to put race leader Bradley Wiggins in trouble during the recent Critérium du Dauphiné only for the gap to  be bridged during the latter stages of the race by team Sky’s remorseless work later on , suggesting that Wiggins (seen below left sitting down for the last time for a week) should be able to prevent Evans or Nibali from making any of the gains that they need to threaten his yellow jersey.

Bradley Wiggins puts his feet up on the rest day

Of the 1st 10, there are 3 (Arthur Vichot, Egoi Martinez, Dmitry Fofonov,) - Handily the 1st three- quoted for today, and all of those selected are 100/1 plus. Arthur Vinchot was the only one that really counted, with his attack from 4.3KM out proving enough to be enough for a 26 second victory tomorrow. The chances of a successful breakaway tomorrow might be unlikely but it’s happened once this tour and the similarities between Thibau Pinot and Artuhur Vichot are uncanny, both being young French riders who have a history of doing well on tough stages and attacking from around 4KM out. With several GC contenders watching eachother, 100/1 is a no brainer with the nly downside being that he will facebreakway competition from his team mates, although he is in a team which according to Betfair’s Tobais Gourlay “exists solely to nick famous stage wins through heroic solo efforts”.

Arthur Vichot is too big for another breakaway repeat
Of the others, there seems to be no reason not to cover with Sky’s Cristopher Froome, who showed such a tremendous finishing kick in the first mountain stage to draw right away with victory. His main target is helping Wiggins for the tour, but being just 1 point behind in the King Of The Mountain standings he’s sure to be prominent and if Evans and Nibali use their teams to try and attack on the rapid descent than few will chase faster and the natural pace he’s shown so far suggests that 25/1 is worth taking, along with the 7/1 for King Of The Mountains.

Another pair of riders who tempt today are Jurgen Van Der Broeck – who time trialled well enough compared to other GC contenders on Monday, has reportedly targeted this stage, and also as the able attentions of Jelle Vandervert to help him when he “attacks with full gas” accrding to reports from Cyclingnews.it ; "I think [our tactics] will be the same as all the other teams we're going to attack now. They [Team Sky] have a gap and we need to attack," he told reporters. "When I put in the attack it's going to be full gas. Favourites Vincenzo Nibali and Cadel Evans are worthy of their position at the top of the market, but being as short at 7/1 means neither makes any real appeal despite the stages being sure to suit them.

Advice – Stage 10

1 pt win, 1 pt Top 3 Arthur Vichot (100/1 general, 10/1 Betfair)


1 pt win, 1 pt Top 3 Jurgen Van Der Broeck (20/1 general, 4/1 Betfair)


1 pt win, 1 pt Top 3 Christopher Froome (18/1 general, 10/1 Betfair)


Advice - King Of The Mountains 

1 pt each/way Christopher Froome (7/1 general) 

1 pt each/way Jurgen Van Der Broeck (28/1 Coral, Blue Sq, Bodog) 

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