The Tour De France is by no means an expert area of mine but
when perusing through the information for Stage 5 I found something very
interesting on Wikipedia. According to the site, more than half of the Tour De
France Stage tomorrow – the 1.94KM route which goes through Macon – to Bellegarde-sur-Valserine
- was made up of Stage 5 of this year's Criterium Du Dauphine, where on the
descent of the Grand Colombier, Cadel Evans and his BMC Racing colleagues tried
to put race leader Bradley Wiggins in trouble during the recent Critérium du
Dauphiné only for the gap to be bridged
during the latter stages of the race by team Sky’s remorseless work later on ,
suggesting that Wiggins (seen below left sitting down for the last time for a week) should be able to prevent Evans or Nibali from making
any of the gains that they need to threaten his yellow jersey.
Of the 1st 10, there are 3 (Arthur Vichot, Egoi Martinez, Dmitry
Fofonov,) - Handily the 1st three- quoted for today, and all of those
selected are 100/1 plus. Arthur Vinchot was the only one that really counted,
with his attack from 4.3KM out proving enough to be enough for a 26 second
victory tomorrow. The chances of a successful breakaway tomorrow might be
unlikely but it’s happened once this tour and the similarities between Thibau
Pinot and Artuhur Vichot are uncanny, both being young French riders who have a
history of doing well on tough stages and attacking from around 4KM out. With
several GC contenders watching eachother, 100/1 is a no brainer with the nly
downside being that he will facebreakway competition from his team mates,
although he is in a team which according to Betfair’s Tobais Gourlay “exists
solely to nick famous stage wins through heroic solo efforts”.
Arthur Vichot is too big for another breakaway repeat |
Of the others, there seems to be no reason not to cover with
Sky’s Cristopher Froome, who showed such a tremendous finishing kick in the
first mountain stage to draw right away with victory. His main target is
helping Wiggins for the tour, but being just 1 point behind in the King Of The
Mountain standings he’s sure to be prominent and if Evans and Nibali use their
teams to try and attack on the rapid descent than few will chase faster and the
natural pace he’s shown so far suggests that 25/1 is worth taking, along with
the 7/1 for King Of The Mountains.
Another pair of riders who tempt today are Jurgen Van Der
Broeck – who time trialled well enough compared to other GC contenders on Monday,
has reportedly targeted this stage, and also as the able attentions of Jelle
Vandervert to help him when he “attacks with full gas” accrding to reports from
Cyclingnews.it ; "I think [our tactics] will be the same as all the other
teams we're going to attack now. They [Team Sky] have a gap and we need to
attack," he told reporters. "When I put in the attack it's going to
be full gas. Favourites Vincenzo Nibali and Cadel Evans are worthy of their
position at the top of the market, but being as short at 7/1 means neither
makes any real appeal despite the stages being sure to suit them.
Advice – Stage 10
1 pt win, 1 pt Top 3 Arthur Vichot (100/1 general, 10/1
Betfair)
1 pt win, 1 pt Top 3 Jurgen Van Der Broeck (20/1 general, 4/1
Betfair)
1 pt win, 1 pt Top 3 Christopher Froome (18/1 general, 10/1
Betfair)
Advice - King Of The Mountains
1 pt each/way Christopher Froome (7/1 general)
1 pt each/way Jurgen Van Der Broeck (28/1 Coral, Blue Sq, Bodog)
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