Sunday, 4 May 2014

1,000 Guineas 2014

3.50 Newmarket

Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes (201st Running) (British Champions Series) (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1)  (3YO only)
Winner £246,618 - 17 run


Advice: 1 pt each/way Bracelet (12/1 Bet365* )

Owner detailsBetimes: Speed in the family everywhere you look; Second favourite and always travelling well when trashing fair sorts in Lingfield maiden in December, her only start; Race has worked out OK for the level and fact that trainer sees fit to send her here a major positive.

Owner detailsBracelet: Highly rated enough to pitch her in listed company (finished well behind Sandiva that day) first time out and much the better for it when easily landing Leopardstown maiden as betting suggested she would; 7/1, behind early, and lot to do entering the straight but strode out impressively to land 1,000 Guineas trail at Leopardstown on softest ground she’s ever faced, never better than at the finish; This extra furlong should suit massively and so could better ground; Big player today.


Owner detailsEuro Charline: Looked a potential group horse in the making when impressing over 7f on the AW at Wolverhampton in maiden and handicap and very promising turf debut when second in the Nell Gwyn, snatched at the wrong time in her run and unlucky not to catch Sandiva; Extra furlong today something she should relish and surprising if she’s not better than we’ve seen.

Owner detailsIhtimal: Built on the form of her 2 group wins last year with impressive wins in UAE 1,000 Guineas and Oaks (looked especially good over 1m1f); Drop back to 1m expected to be no problem and can get close to Rizzena than she did in the Fillies mile when coming too late; On the premises at least.

Owner detailsJoyeuse: Known as the half sister to Frankel but become a good horse in her own right and one of most promising shows yet when coming from last to hird in the Fred Darling at Newbury (7f) on reappearance, settling properly for the first time in hood; 1m obviously going to suit far better today and strong likely gallop a great positive too; Needs more on bare form basis but foolish to discount.


Owner detailsLady Lara: Beaten by many a rival in a group even last year but off the mark at last time of asking and didn’t wilt when passed in the Fred Darling, although no reason to reverse form with third Joyeuse; Others look to have more to give today.

Owner detailsLamar: Behind four of today’s rivals on separate occasions and well beaten at that last year; Might be a tad better than her latest fourth in Nell Gwyn suggests having suffered some trouble in running but surprise if she can reverse form with the front two from that race.


Owner detailsLighting Thunder: Looked a promising horse when landing pair of 6f contests at Newbury and Doncaster and lost nothing when colours lowered by Miss France in Oh So Sharp Stakes although margin flatters her, and well held in Rockfel Stakes; Hard to see her landing a significant blow today.


Owner detailsLucky Kristale: Disappointing when only sixth in Albany Stakes but that evidently not her real form based on impressive group wins the next twice, beating Rizzena in very impressive style (overcame poor run through_ when receiving weight on July Course and then running out a ready winner of the Lowther Stakes; Slightly disconcerting that the last time she was seen but shaped then as if she’d have no problem going further and big player today.


Owner detailsMajeyda: Couldn’t live with turn of foot from stablemate Ithimal at Doncaster in May Hill and made amends for disappointment at Longchamp with clear cut win here in November; Return in Nell Gwyn was promising and can be expected to improve but surprise if she improved past first two ahead of her that day.



Owner detailsManderley: Best effort when second in sales race on final 2yo start but well behind Joyeuse in Fred Darling on return and surprise if she can reverse that form although family does seem to get better with age; Much more needed still.


Owner detailsMiss France: Found things happening too fast on debut but impressive when beating Marcel Boussac winner next time out and then a smooth winner of Oh So Sharp Stakes on reappearance, never overly extended to beat Lighting Thunder; Reappearance disappointing but couldn’t get cover early and ruined chances by failing to settle in steadily run race that suited likes of Vorda (second) far more; Much better expected today.



Owner detailsPrincess Noor: Impressive performance when second to Vorda latest, racing alone for most of the race and only just being cut down in the final strides; That an improvement on well beaten efforts beforehand but the question now this extra trip and others may have more improvement in there.


Owner detailsRizzena: Just about the leading 2yo filly last year, impressive winner at Royal Ascot early before outsped by Lucky Kristale (gave penalty) here and then coming too late behind No Nay Never in Prix Morny; Best effort when beating Kiyoshi and Tapestry in Moyglare Stud Stakes with sharp turn of foot and while beaten by the ill fated Chriselliam in fillies mile, ahead of Ithimal; Stamina no issues, best form in the race and bold showing expected although worry that others (like Tapestry) can improve past her.


Owner detailsSandiva: One of the leading 2 year olds, best of the rest in Alabany Stakes and an impressive winner at Deauville; Didn’t handle soft ground in Marcel Boussac, and worthy winner of Nell Gwyn latest, although particularly well time challenge from Dettori onboard may have been instrumental in helping her hold off the promising Euro Charline; Respected.


Owner detailsTapestry: Smart turn of foot to land Curragh maiden and then the Debutante Stakes before being beaten by Rizzena in the Moyglare Stud; Didn’t look unlucky (interfered with by Kiyoshi so third was changed to second); Potentially more to come and maybe this trip likely to suit her more (bred to) so amongst the leading players today.


Owner detailsVorda: Ahead of Rizzena when second in Morny and then a cosy winner over Princess Noor in the Cheveley Park here; Forget Breeders’ Cup run but she seemed happier over the shorter trip than many she meets again today; Way she was worn down close him at Masions-Laffite when messy race suited her far more than Miss France; If staying, huge player.



VERDICT: A wide-open renewal where any one of 10 could be called a realistic contender and hopefully an exciting race in store with potential improvers and established horses clashing, while the stamina question puts particular importance upon the pace. Frustratingly, the field of 14 for the 2,000 Guineas decided to split yesterday although there was no major advantage for either side and the draw is not factored into out selections. Ante post selection Rizzena has the best form in the book and the beating of nearly all the major contenders on her best form from last season, so is a worthy favourite with her stamina confirmed, but one must wonder if she has hit her peak already and there are a host of lightly raced contenders hoping to pounce. Miss France should enjoy today’s test more than the farce that the Imprudence turned into when Vorda was second, while Tapestry can improve on her just fourth start upped in trip, and rated a major player, but BRACELET’S reappearance win was a deeply promising effort given the circumstances and while she may want yet further, this extra furlong should see better from her and she’s taken to build again on her massive potential. Lucky Kristale will take high rank if staying a mile and Euro Charline and Joyeuse should be better horses at this trip; It is hard to be so sure about Vorda.

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