It’s the bet that seems more difficult to win than the
Triple Crown, but nobody ever won £10m without trying, so today’s blog will
feature it’s own Scoop6 guide with yours truly going for at least one line-
just so that I’m not the man thinking if only I had.
Leg 1 (2.05 Haydock) – Well as ever, the Tote has made the
Scoop 6 as easy to win as possible with this fiercely competitive handicap,
with 13 runners to boot. It’s a big chance to take a maiden in the first leg,
but the way that Run With Pride stretched out at Doncaster was deeply
impressive and group 1 entries suggest that Derek Shaw can see him being better
than a handicapper and certainly better than an 80 horse. He needs to improve
to take a hand in this but the way he had the 87 rated odds on favourite in
third suggested 80 was a fair rating and I’m willing to take a chance here.
Those who want a bigger perm should look at Out Do, and Polski Max, a long way
behind Barkston Ash when they met at Thirsk but given no chance after being
hampered, but having now been eased in the weights and given a better chance by
the weather gods as well.
Advice – 3 lines
Run With Pride
Polski Max
Out Do
Leg 2 (2.50 Catterick) – A horrible task with no standout
against the favourites that looks particularly appealing. Hadaj’s well
handicapped and seems to be the kind of horse that will thrive at 7 furlongs
but he’s finished weakly the last twice he’s tackled that trip. 8-year-old
Conry’s recent form and track record make great appeal here although the really
interesting one is Showboating, who is 2-3 here but would have been involved in
his last 3 races if he’d broken more cleanly on each occasions. Favourites
Green Howard and Just Paul make this nearly impossible – and a chance is taken
on Just Paul because of the rom for improvement he has in the locker after a
poor run through didn’t stop him from winning.
Leg 2 Advice – 2 lines
Conry
Just Paul
Leg 3 (2.55 Goodwood) – Supplicant makes the most appeal
here, dropped to 105 after finding the Middle Park (form working out well) and
Greenham (too tough for him). A game winner of Riopon’s Champion 2yo trophy and
then the Mill Reef Stakes, he stated on strongly towards the end on both
occasions and took the Newbury Group 2 on softer. Penny Drops was an impressive
winner last time but Wahaab would be the other selection, with a gelding
operation hopefully having done the trick after a disappointing showing when
last seen; The ground is a slight question.
Leg 3 Advice – 2 lines
Supplicant
Wahaab
Leg 4 (3.10 Haydock) – Joyuse looks a worthy favourite,
having found the Guineas too good for her last time but not disgracing herself,
with the drop back in trip not likely to be an issue. The form of her Fred
Darling third, where she was possibly unlucky not to be closer, reads well
here, and a bold bid is expected today.
Gathering Power is an interesting 14/1 show and Spinatrix should also
give a bold showing too for those looking for extra lines although I am confident
with the Cecil filly.
Leg 4 Advice -
Joyeuse
Spinatrix
Leg 5 (3.25 Catterick) Khelman looks an obvious candidate –
well he is favourite – but of the rest Day of the Eagle is still on a winning
mark and he needs serious watching off his rating of 69. If you’re wanting more
cover, then maybe Johnny Cavagin is the one.
Leg 5 Advice
Khelman
Johnny Cavagin
Day of the Eagle
Leg 6 (3.45 Haydock) – If you’re still in here then good
luck to you! Blimbi is the main focus for many here and should go well after an
impressive reappearance win at Musselbright where it’s thought that he won in
spite of the ground (although he seems to go on all surfaces) but What About
Carlo’s reappearance win at Sandown was a deeply impressive one in a race that
was well worthy of him getting a 9lbs rise for winning in such style and with
the rain having come to his aid, he makes it onto the selection list. So does
First Flight, who was behind What About Carlo on return but may have given too
much of a head start and needs respecting. Those two will do for me.
Advice
What About Carlo
First Flight
Away from the Scoop 6, Pearl Secret is worth trusting again in the
Temple Stakes. A disappointment at Newmarket in the Palace House, he had been
so impressive on his reappearance when racing on soft ground and today, on a
much calmer surface, can show what he’s made of.
Away from the Scoop 6, Pearl Secret is worth trusting again in the
Temple Stakes. A disappointment at Newmarket in the Palace House, he had been
so impressive on his reappearance when racing on soft ground and today, on a
much calmer surface, can show what he’s made of.
Advice
1 pt win Pearl Secret (10/3 general)
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