Tuesday 15 April 2014

Today's Racing - 16th April - Cheltenham April Meeting & Nell Gwyn Stakes

The Cheltenham Festival may have passed but it’s April meeting brings a good bridge towards the riches of the Punchestown Festival still to come and Newmarket’s Craven meeting signalling the return of the flat proper as the two seasons combine for fantastic racing.


I’ll start with Cheltenham and the April meeting, which has so often been used to compensate for disappointment in March, and Garde La Victoire (2.05) can follow that route by atoning for a disappointing winter with victory here. Phillip Hobbs’s charge looked to have a major future when trashing Gone Too Far on the second of two early season hurdles starts and even defeat to subsequent Neptune fourth Ballyalton here in a really strong novice at the December meeting did little to dim his appeal, but he was a long beaten fourth in the Tolworth hurdle and then was nowhere when unfancied at the Festival. He wasn’t impressive when stepped upto today’s trip at Taunton although he was hanging left for most of the journey, suggesting that the return to Cheltenham will bring around improvement, and he was carrying a hefty penalty that day too. Receiving 4lbs from My Wigwam Or Yours, for whom everything clicked in style at Newbury when giving this trip and crucially this ground for the first time, and Veux Lion Rouge, who is still unexposed but disappointed upped in class facing a quick surface for the first time at the festival, he can end his season an a high note. In a strong opener, Blue Heron, Lookeslikerainted, and Sergeant Mattie all add depth although the ground is a question mark for two of them and Sergeant Mattie was beaten at the same level last time out.


Thomas Crapper (left) ran a fantastic race at the Festival when second in what looked like a strong renewal of the Martin Pipe Conditionals Handicap Hurdle (3.15) here, when failing only for stamina late on as the extremely promising 3 mile Graded winner Don Poli had too much up the hill, but the form of his effort was underlined by the third, Caid Du Berlais, going very close at Aintree in a similar race next time out, only getting chinned late. All season his form has held up to the highest security and if waited with more today in the Longcroft Building Services Handicap Hurdle (3.15) – he was kicked on very early at the Festival – then compensation could be waiting for him. This is a very well contested race with two horses beginning Sandown’s EBF final form to the table, with Brother Brian attempting to go three better than when a beaten favourite, and Boondooma, who is 6lbs better off with him for a 3 and a half length beating at Sandown despite two wins in small fry contests since. The latter of the two is preferred although Volt Face, a good winner at Newton Abbot upped in trip for the first time, can get involved if handling good ground, and The Romford Pele has had a pretty good chasing season and comes here 2lbs lower in the handicap then when fourth in this last year.

In the feature Silver Trophy (3.50), Buywise and Persian Snow are of obvious interest, both having run creditably at the Festival, Buywise’s bad mistake costing him any chance in the Novices’ handicap, and Persian Snow’s hampering possibly costing him any chance of getting involved. However there is value past the two of them and Real Milan, who should have won in the first time blinkers at Haydock but for lacking focus latest, and Carrickboy, who is just 4lbs higher than when winning at last year’s Festival. Overall nothing has an edge for me though.


In the Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (4.25), take a chance on Paul Nicholls’ Pay The King showing his early season form. He was unable to make much headway in a valuable Pertemps qualifier at Musselbrugh when last seen but the time before he was a promising fifth in one of the stronger handicaps run all season when held up behind and infront of him that day was Western Warhorse, Sausalito Sunrise, and Liuetant Miller. If able to repeat that effort today – it looks as if he should stay – then he holds a fine chance.


Over at Newmarket, in the Horsesource Seabuckthorn Conditions Stakes (2.20) it’s a shock to no-one that Richard Hannon is likely to have yet another favourite in a juvenile race, but Harry Hurricane could have gotten closer to his Flyball if he’d had the benefit of a previous start at Leicester. George Baker’s charge was slow to get out of the stalls and found the early pace a tad too hot, but the way he was closing at the end of the race leaves the impression that he could get much closer the next time the two met and a 3lbs pull in his favour today makes him the choice of the two. Abscent Friends will find this tougher than his Southwell win but was likeable in victory there and can ensure a decent test for the newcomers Portamento, a half brother to Belmont Stakes fourth Incognito, and Qatar Racing’s Mind of Madness.


The same outfit might also have claims in the Nell Gwyn (4.05) with Queen Catrine (centre left) who ended a solid and consistent juvenile year with a third in the Marcel Boussac. That day, upped to a mile for the first time and tackling soft ground for the first time as well, being held up off a strong gallop helped but she had plenty of useful sprinting form, enough to make one think that the switch back to 7 furlongs on faster ground shouldn’t be an issue. Paddy Power are paying an extra place and go 7/1, which is a nice surprise for the market. Sandiva was a disappointing seventh that day but back on faster ground going 6 furlongs, is a worthy favourite, while the trip should also suit Dorothy B, second to Joyeuse last season behind being unsuited by the sprint that the Cheveley Park became. Both are worth consideration while the impressive Folk Melody is well worth a place here following a deeply impressive maiden win last year when well supported and along with the unbeaten Euro Charline, can make her presence felt.



Later on in the Fielden Stakes (4.40), Mark Johnston’s Somewhat can make up for a poor effort in the Racing Post Trophy when it’s eminently possible that soft ground didn’t suit with a win upped in trip. His thrashing of Be Ready at Newbury, a close second to Berkshire over the Rowley Mile here back in September, and a close second in the Superlative Stakes, are all efforts that are entitled to make him favourite today and while there is a considerable amount of unexposed talent, those efforts give him a strong chance today and it’s possible he may improve more for today’s new trip, and he has shown enough to defy a 3lbs penalty.

Advice

1 pt win Garde La Victoire, 2.05 Cheltenham (5/2 general)

1 pt win Thomas Crapper, 3.15 Cheltenham (9/2 general)

1 pt each/way Volt Face, 4.25 Cheltenham (10/1 general)

1 pt each/way Pay The King, 4.25 Cheltenham (8/1 general)

1 pt win Harry Hurricane, 2.20 Newmarket

1 pt each/way Queen Catrine, 4.05 Newmarket (7/1 Paddy Power)


1 pt win Somewhat, 4.40 Newmarket, (4/1 general)


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