5.30 Punchestown
Bibby Financial Services Ireland Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade
1) (Class 1) (5YO plus)
Winner €120,000 - 9 run
Advice: 1 pt win On His Own (4/1 general)
Argocat: Experienced now in these big events but still only
6 and career best effort in Aintree Bowl when ahead of disappointing First
Lieutenant; That form (which is backed up by Grade 2 win beforehand) gives him
a realistic chance here.
Boston Bob: Had become disappointing following novice chase
campaign of huge promise despite jumping issues last year but stamina that
didn’t come into play as hoped in Ryanair saw him power away to land Melling
Chase at Aintree, much the best from the last to the line; Jumping seems to
have been sorted out based on that pair of runs and returned to three miles, an
obvious chance here.
First Lieutenant: As good as any on his day but this season
possibly a disappointment now, having had no answer to Last Instalment or
flashing Tidal Bay in Irish Hennessy and then laboured fourth at Aintree latest;
First time blinkers may be the oracle today and known to reach peak with
racing, although he has something to prove now.
Folidubh: Has been a grand servant but 6tih in Lexus as good
as he is over a staying distance and limp efforts the last twice not much of a
encouragement.
Long Run: Second in this last year would give him best form
chance but since not run up to the same form and jumping issues still a problem
based on falls in King George and Grand National this year; This still not
beyond him but all this season’s efforts suggests he will struggle.
Lyreen Legend: Fantastic novice campaign last year before
disappointing here; Top level has been just beyond him in three major staying
chases, well there in the Gold Cup but fading in the finish as he has done on
three other occasions
Medermit: Looked very much as if staying races should be on
domain but not won since 2011 and long time off following fourth in Aintree
Bowl; Not shown much of old spark in two runs this season and hard to envisage
going well.
Noble Prince: Won Listed chase at Thurles in good style in
November and good effort at Cork latest but that a different level based on
what he’s going to need here.
On His Own: Tried and failed twice at Grand National but
quickly proven he’s a far better horse than showed there and after winning
Thyestes Chase again, put classy Mount Benulben aside in Bobbyjo Chase, earning
a Cheltenham Gold Cup tilt that may well have ended in glory if he’d been able
to stay straight in last 100 yards; Still a fine run and likely to take the
beating today.
VERDICT: There have been some recent shocks in this race and
using that trail of thought, Argocat deserves some respect after a solid effort
at Aintree, but ON HIS OWN had been shaping as a graded horse even before his
fantastic Gold Cup effort and he is preferred over stablemate Boston Bob in
what’s a tight call. Doubts over Lyreen Legend’s stamina make him hard to
recommend and the blinkers may be the oracle for First Lieutenant, although he
was very disappointing at Aintree.
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