When, as he described it, ‘on the night before Sports
Personality’ Bradley Wiggins described to target the Giro D’Italia for his 2013
season, it is likely that he didn’t envisage himself being some 90 seconds down upon his main rivals going into the long individual time trial of the Giro
D’Italia, but horrendous rain – some of which is falling back on the starting
ramp as this is written – on the descent to Pescara cost him badly yesterday
and now leaves him on a recovery mission today.
Dave Brailsford assures us that Wiggins – who seemed to be
hesitant to put pressure or stress on his left elbow yesterday, although he may
just have been avoiding another fall at all costs - is not injured, and if he
is able to come here in top shape, then today is an ideal opportunity for him
to strike over a distance longer than either of the Tour de France time trials
he both won last year.
With rain and wind on various parts of the course, and a
finishing ramp of a kilometres that has switchbacks and averages of 11%, it’ll
be a brutal test for anyone and there could be a few surprises, but if Wiggins
is in peak form and able to stay upright then it should be a matter of how much
time he takes. Based purely on his best form – we’re assuming this was his Tour
De France ending form - Wiggins can realistically expect to take anything upto
90 seconds on the field, and anything upto 3 minutes on Vincenzo Nibali. Things
won’t be quite that simple here because of the extremely technical nature of
the course compared to the relatively simple run he had then, but as a winner
of the Paris Nice mountain time trial against the clock, you would hope that
he’d be fine, and as the Olympic TT Champion, pacing should be no problem. He
needs to have a special ride today to make up the time – it should be remembered
that Nibali has gone to great lengths to improve his time trailing ability and
will be suited by the climbs and descents, while the same can be said of Ryder
Hesdjal except to a greater extent – but with any luck he should be able to do
so and he still has a fighting chance.
In terms of any value today, Hesdjal made some appeal to
beat Nibali but today is a day best sat watching – Ryder does look too big at
9/2 for the Magalia Rosa given his time trial prowess however and may be worth
backing before the day’s end.
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