1.55 Sandown
Markel Insurance Henry VIII Novices' Chase (Grade 1) (Class
1) (4YO plus)
Winner £21,072
Advice: 4 pts double Captain Conan (1.55 Sandown, 1/2 general),
Sprinter Sacre (3.05 Sandown, 4/9 general) (2.12 general)
1 pt Captain Conan –Third Intention straight forecast (6.25
Bet365)
Act Of Kalanisi: 136 rated hurdler; Built on jumping from
Ascot debut to win at Leicester dropped to this trip in decisive fashion from
fairly useful Ciceron but this is much harder and looks opposeable.
Captain Conan: Looked every inch a chaser when taking 2m
Grade 1 novice on UK debut here last season and showed why when landing Grade 2
at Cheltenham in good style (had Third Intention 8l behind) on seasonal debut
(runner up since won in very good style); Should come forward for that and take
the beating here.
Escort’ Men: Not gone on from impressive win in Dovecote
Hurdle around 2 years ago, gaining hard fought Listed handicap around a year
ago; No wins from four over fences, failing to make it twice and pulling far
too hard in defeat during the others; This far harder.
Third Intention: Possibly went for home bit too soon when
second on chasing debut at Cheltenham before 8 length third to Captain Conan in
Grade 2 last time; Shouldn’t be reversing that form but could easily make the
forecast.
Hinterland: Decent juvenile hurdler last season (rated 141)
and decisive winner off said mark on return at Chepstow over hurdles but
desperately disappointing on return when pulling far too hard on Exeter (albeit
second to a very useful winner) when failing to get proper cover in small
field; Looks inferior to Captain Conan.
VERDICT: CAPTAIN CONAN has always looked like a chaser in
the making and got off to the perfect start over fences at Cheltenham when
winning a race that looked just as strong, if not stronger than, this one today
and he looks rock solid even if unbackable in singles at ½. Doubling him up
with star chaser Sprinter Sacre in the Tingle Creek later on, along with fellow
novice chaser Oscars Well at Navan, looks to be the best option, with Third Intention
suggested as the forecast value given Hinterland’s strong pulling tendencies.
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