1.25 Leopardstown
Paddy Power Dial-a-bet Chase (grade 1) (Class 1) (5YO plus)
Winner €65,000
Advice: 1 pt Sizing Europe – Big Zeb straight forecast (8.23
Bet365), 1 pt Big Zeb w/o Sizing Europe (7/2 general)
Big Zeb: Veteran of 2m chasing game who has 6 Grade 1 wins,
last of those archived in this race a year to the day (retaining title for the
second time) and showed a lot of old spark when second (admittedly well beaten,
but still second) to Flemenstar in Fortia Chase; Shouldn’t be able to cope with
Sizing Europe (well down in head to heads) but can run with credit.
Edgardo Sol: Capped spectacular first season in UK with emphatic
handicap chase win at Aintree by 14 lengths (now rated 150 over fences which
still gives him a lot to do); Good return to hurdles when second in Newbury
Listed handicap Hurdle but doesn’t look good enough.
Foildubh: Consistent sort, if not short of top class; Steady
rise through taking big 2m5f race at Leopardstown looking unlucky when coming
down in bid to take similar race next time out; Winner of a handicap hurdle and
a handicap chase this year but not upto this standard.
Forpadydeplasterer: Amazing to consider that his latest win
was his first since 2009 Arkle; Not quite the same horse he was then and trashed
by Sizing Europe on their last meeting.
Rubi Light: Exceptional front running chaser at his best
over intermediate trip on soft ground, as he showed when trashing rivals in
2m4f chases on two occasions last season; Very disappointing when unable to
raise a gallop in John Durkan this year but badly wrong afterwards (infected
lung); If back to his best, could take a big hand, but this trip shorter than
he wants so would be out in front.
Sizing Europe: Lost his Champion Chase crown by fairly
narrow margin (to high class horse in Finian’s Rainbow) but not after two
brilliant performances, first in Tingle Creek and then in Tied Cottage Chase,
and won yet another Grade 1 in gutsy style at Punchestown Festival; Looked as
good as ever in two wins this season and shouldn’t be beaten here.
Blazing Tempo: Plenty of ability as her numerous wins show
(including Garde 2 Normans Grove Chase) but well beaten in Hilly Way Chase
latest and this a lot tougher.
VERDICT: SIZING EUROPE is a class apart on paper, with none
of his rivals in the 160’s on official ratings and even then being held on form
or needing further, he’s safe acca/banker material. Big Zeb, who’s second
placed effort in the Fortia Chase now looks even better with Flemenstar’s John
Durkan romp, can follow him home with Rubi Light coming back after a lung infection
and Edgardo Sol having some to prove in this company.
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